NBA games

ORL @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
98–114
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
ORL3224251798
CLE22393023114

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (ORL) games this season
ORL away
home CLE
26% 74%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Paolo Banchero S 40 37 10 4
Desmond Bane S 38 19 4 0
Anthony Black S 37 14 4 5
Wendell Carter Jr. S 34 9 7 1
Tristan da Silva 9 5 1 1
Moritz Wagner 12 5 3 0
Jalen Suggs S 27 4 5 6
Tyus Jones 18 3 3 3
Noah Penda 14 2 3 1
Jase Richardson 5 0 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donovan Mitchell S 35 45 4 4
Evan Mobley S 35 20 9 2
Jaylon Tyson S 35 14 9 4
Jarrett Allen S 33 9 4 1
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 24 8 3 1
Dean Wade S 29 6 7 2
Tyrese Proctor 14 6 2 3
Craig Porter Jr. 15 4 5 5
Larry Nance Jr. 6 2 1 0
Lonzo Ball 14 0 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Evan Mobley · Jumper (2 pts) · 10:40 Q1
"Evan Mobley makes 9-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Evan Mobley CLE
14%
2 Paolo Banchero ORL
11%
3 Desmond Bane ORL
11%
4 Donovan Mitchell CLE
10%
5 Jalen Suggs ORL
10%
6 Anthony Black ORL
10%
7 Jarrett Allen CLE
10%
8 Jaylon Tyson CLE
9%
9 Wendell Carter Jr. ORL
8%
10 Dean Wade CLE
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
25%
Jumper
27%
Layup
30%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 27.2 4.9 7.0
2 Paolo Banchero ORL 24.8 8.8 6.2
3 Evan Mobley CLE 20.7 8.7 5.0
4 Desmond Bane ORL 20.1 4.4 4.5
5 Anthony Black ORL 18.1 4.1 6.1
6 Jaylon Tyson CLE 17.9 4.8 3.7
7 Jalen Suggs ORL 17.6 3.5 4.6
8 Jarrett Allen CLE 13.3 8.3 2.1
9 Wendell Carter Jr. ORL 12.8 7.1 2.7
10 De'Andre Hunter CLE 12.0 4.2 2.3
11 Moritz Wagner ORL 8.7 2.9 1.0
12 Tristan da Silva ORL 7.4 2.4 1.5
13 Dean Wade CLE 7.1 3.8 1.6
14 Noah Penda ORL 7.1 3.9 1.4
15 Jase Richardson ORL 7.1 1.8 1.6
16 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 6.6 3.6 4.3
17 Nae'Qwan Tomlin CLE 6.4 3.4 1.7
18 Lonzo Ball CLE 5.7 2.6 2.9
19 Goga Bitadze ORL 5.3 5.2 0.9
20 Thomas Bryant CLE 5.1 2.5 1.0
21 Tyrese Proctor CLE 4.7 1.2 0.9
22 Larry Nance Jr. CLE 3.9 2.0 1.0
23 Tyus Jones ORL 3.2 1.0 1.5
24 Jett Howard ORL 3.0 1.2 0.8
25 Jonathan Isaac ORL 2.8 1.6 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.