DAL @ MIL
NBA
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Tip-off
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIL) / 10 (DAL) games this season
DAL
away
home
MIL
61%
39%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
30%
2
Cooper Flagg
DAL
10%
3
Naji Marshall
DAL
9%
4
Myles Turner
MIL
9%
5
Dwight Powell
DAL
8%
6
Max Christie
DAL
7%
7
Gary Harris
MIL
7%
8
Ryan Rollins
MIL
7%
9
Kyle Kuzma
MIL
7%
10
Caleb Martin
DAL
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
57%
Jumper
10%
Layup
26%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 26.9 | 10.7 | 5.9 |
| 2 | Naji Marshall | DAL | 21.8 | 6.1 | 5.1 |
| 3 | Cooper Flagg | DAL | 18.0 | 6.6 | 5.1 |
| 4 | Max Christie | DAL | 17.1 | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 5 | Brandon Williams | DAL | 16.5 | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 14.2 | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| 7 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 12.7 | 6.4 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Klay Thompson | DAL | 12.7 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 9 | Myles Turner | MIL | 12.2 | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 11.7 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| 11 | P.J. Washington | DAL | 10.4 | 6.0 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Daniel Gafford | DAL | 7.4 | 7.4 | 0.9 |
| 13 | Caleb Martin | DAL | 6.9 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 14 | Ryan Nembhard | DAL | 6.9 | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| 15 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 5.8 | 6.8 | 1.4 |
| 16 | Cole Anthony | MIL | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| 17 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | DAL | 4.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Gary Harris | MIL | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Pete Nance | MIL | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Amir Coffey | MIL | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.