TOR @ POR
NBA
Moda Center
·Final
110–98
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 19 | 31 | 26 | 34 | 110 |
| POR | 12 | 31 | 31 | 24 | 98 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (POR) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
POR
36%
64%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandro Mamukelashvili S | 35 | 22 | 6 | 4 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 35 | 20 | 7 | 3 |
| Immanuel Quickley S | 34 | 20 | 8 | 7 |
| Scottie Barnes S | 35 | 15 | 9 | 4 |
| Ochai Agbaji | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| RJ Barrett S | 21 | 10 | 6 | 3 |
| Gradey Dick | 24 | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| Jamison Battle | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jamal Shead | 20 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Sandro Mamukelashvili ·
3PT (3 pts) · 9:45 Q1
"Sandro Mamukelashvili makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot (Brandon Ingram assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Shaedon Sharpe
POR
12%
2
Brandon Ingram
TOR
12%
3
Scottie Barnes
TOR
11%
4
Deni Avdija
POR
9%
5
Toumani Camara
POR
9%
6
RJ Barrett
TOR
8%
7
Immanuel Quickley
TOR
7%
8
Jrue Holiday
POR
7%
9
Donovan Clingan
POR
6%
10
Sandro Mamukelashvili
TOR
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
38%
Layup
17%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deni Avdija | POR | 27.3 | 6.9 | 7.3 |
| 2 | Scottie Barnes | TOR | 24.3 | 7.0 | 6.5 |
| 3 | Shaedon Sharpe | POR | 23.2 | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| 4 | Brandon Ingram | TOR | 22.8 | 6.3 | 3.9 |
| 5 | Jerami Grant | POR | 20.7 | 4.7 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Immanuel Quickley | TOR | 20.6 | 3.8 | 6.1 |
| 7 | RJ Barrett | TOR | 19.7 | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| 8 | Caleb Love | POR | 16.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| 9 | Jrue Holiday | POR | 15.1 | 4.6 | 6.0 |
| 10 | Toumani Camara | POR | 14.8 | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Donovan Clingan | POR | 13.1 | 10.4 | 2.6 |
| 12 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | TOR | 13.0 | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| 13 | Jamal Shead | TOR | 11.0 | 2.4 | 6.1 |
| 14 | Gradey Dick | TOR | 8.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Sidy Cissoko | POR | 8.1 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Kris Murray | POR | 6.7 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Robert Williams III | POR | 5.7 | 5.9 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Rayan Rupert | POR | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Ochai Agbaji | TOR | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Matisse Thybulle | POR | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 21 | A.J. Lawson | TOR | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Jamison Battle | TOR | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Alijah Martin | TOR | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Jonathan Mogbo | TOR | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Yang Hansen | POR | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Garrett Temple | TOR | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 27 | Duop Reath | POR | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 28 | Javonte Cooke | POR | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.