CHI @ MIN
NBA
Target Center
·Final
120–115
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 26 | 34 | 33 | 27 | 120 |
| MIN | 32 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 115 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIN) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI
away
home
MIN
55%
45%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby White S | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 |
| Josh Giddey | 26 | 21 | 6 | 5 |
| Jalen Smith S | 27 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| Matas Buzelis S | 28 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| Tre Jones | 27 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| Isaac Okoro S | 26 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
| Nikola Vucevic S | 31 | 10 | 8 | 3 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 22 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| Patrick Williams | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevin Huerter | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Anthony Edwards ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:41 Q1
"Anthony Edwards makes 13-foot pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
11%
2
Anthony Edwards
MIN
10%
3
Julius Randle
MIN
10%
4
Matas Buzelis
CHI
10%
5
Nikola Vucevic
CHI
10%
6
Josh Giddey
CHI
10%
7
Rudy Gobert
MIN
10%
8
Jalen Smith
CHI
7%
9
Coby White
CHI
7%
10
Isaac Okoro
CHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
26%
Layup
21%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Edwards | MIN | 26.5 | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| 2 | Julius Randle | MIN | 24.1 | 6.9 | 4.5 |
| 3 | Nikola Vucevic | CHI | 22.0 | 9.8 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 19.4 | 6.2 | 8.5 |
| 5 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 18.5 | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| 6 | Ayo Dosunmu | CHI | 18.4 | 3.3 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Coby White | CHI | 17.2 | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| 8 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 16.9 | 5.0 | 3.4 |
| 9 | Naz Reid | MIN | 15.3 | 5.8 | 2.9 |
| 10 | Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | 13.5 | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| 11 | Tre Jones | CHI | 13.5 | 3.5 | 6.9 |
| 12 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 11.9 | 8.9 | 1.6 |
| 13 | Kevin Huerter | CHI | 11.2 | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| 14 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 10.2 | 10.6 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Isaac Okoro | CHI | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Bones Hyland | MIN | 7.0 | 1.6 | 3.1 |
| 17 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 5.7 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Mike Conley | MIN | 5.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 19 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Enrique Freeman | MIN | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Joan Beringer | MIN | 4.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Jaylen Clark | MIN | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Julian Phillips | CHI | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Leonard Miller | MIN | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 26 | Rob Dillingham | MIN | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 27 | Joe Ingles | MIN | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.