NBA games

PHX @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
116–110
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHX27304019116
PHI30233126110

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX away
home PHI
33% 67%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Devin Booker S 34 27 3 4
Grayson Allen 29 16 5 6
Jordan Goodwin 20 16 5 2
Collin Gillespie S 28 12 4 4
Oso Ighodaro 29 12 5 3
Jalen Green 20 12 2 3
Royce O'Neale S 24 9 3 2
Dillon Brooks S 30 6 5 1
Mark Williams S 18 4 9 0
Ryan Dunn 9 2 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
VJ Edgecombe S 37 25 7 1
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 34 21 4 1
Tyrese Maxey S 43 20 2 7
Quentin Grimes 27 12 4 5
Adem Bona 26 11 10 0
Andre Drummond S 22 8 15 1
Dominick Barlow S 28 8 5 2
Justin Edwards 12 5 1 2
Trendon Watford 6 0 0 1
Jabari Walker 6 0 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kelly Oubre Jr. · Layup (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Kelly Oubre Jr. makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Devin Booker PHX
16%
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI
12%
3 VJ Edgecombe PHI
10%
4 Paul George PHI
10%
5 Mark Williams PHX
10%
6 Dillon Brooks PHX
9%
7 Dominick Barlow PHI
9%
8 Collin Gillespie PHX
8%
9 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
8%
10 Royce O'Neale PHX
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
31%
Layup
41%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Devin Booker PHX 27.0 3.9 6.5
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI 26.6 4.8 5.9
3 Dillon Brooks PHX 17.9 4.2 2.3
4 Paul George PHI 16.0 4.9 4.1
5 Grayson Allen PHX 15.6 3.4 3.5
6 VJ Edgecombe PHI 15.6 4.9 5.1
7 Collin Gillespie PHX 11.9 3.8 3.8
8 Quentin Grimes PHI 11.7 4.5 2.0
9 Royce O'Neale PHX 11.4 5.2 3.3
10 Mark Williams PHX 11.4 8.5 1.1
11 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 10.2 3.9 1.6
12 Jordan Goodwin PHX 9.2 4.5 2.4
13 Dominick Barlow PHI 6.9 4.1 0.8
14 Oso Ighodaro PHX 6.3 4.0 1.4
15 Ryan Dunn PHX 6.0 3.1 1.6
16 Andre Drummond PHI 5.2 6.4 0.5
17 Trendon Watford PHI 4.9 2.6 2.0
18 Adem Bona PHI 4.8 4.1 0.6
19 Justin Edwards PHI 3.6 1.4 0.7
20 Jared McCain PHI 3.6 1.4 0.8
21 Jabari Walker PHI 3.4 2.6 0.6
22 Eric Gordon PHI 3.2 0.4 0.4
23 Rasheer Fleming PHX 2.4 1.3 0.3
24 Johni Broome PHI 1.8 1.7 0.4
25 Nick Richards PHX 1.6 2.6 0.3
26 Kyle Lowry PHI 1.4 0.5 0.7
27 Nigel Hayes-Davis PHX 1.4 1.1 0.3
28 Khaman Maluach PHX 1.1 1.2 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.