NBA games

PHX @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
126–117
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHX40323123126
BKN26422128117

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX away
home BKN
61% 39%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Dillon Brooks S 34 27 5 2
Devin Booker S 33 24 4 4
Collin Gillespie S 28 22 5 5
Mark Williams S 29 16 8 0
Grayson Allen 30 14 3 8
Royce O'Neale S 29 11 3 5
Oso Ighodaro 19 5 4 1
Ryan Dunn 17 3 1 1
Jordan Goodwin 17 2 2 2
Isaiah Livers 4 2 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Michael Porter Jr. S 37 23 6 4
Noah Clowney S 28 16 1 0
Ziaire Williams 24 15 2 1
Nic Claxton S 37 12 8 6
Drake Powell S 25 11 1 3
Nolan Traore 22 10 1 2
Terance Mann S 26 10 4 8
Tyrese Martin 15 9 1 1
Danny Wolf 13 8 4 1
Jalen Wilson 13 3 0 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Dillon Brooks · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:24 Q1
"Dillon Brooks makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
12%
2 Devin Booker PHX
11%
3 Dillon Brooks PHX
9%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
5 Mark Williams PHX
9%
6 Collin Gillespie PHX
8%
7 Terance Mann BKN
6%
8 Ziaire Williams BKN
6%
9 Drake Powell BKN
6%
10 Danny Wolf BKN
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
28%
Jumper
29%
Layup
16%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Devin Booker PHX 26.8 4.1 6.8
2 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 24.0 7.9 3.9
3 Dillon Brooks PHX 17.9 4.0 2.5
4 Grayson Allen PHX 15.9 3.4 3.4
5 Cam Thomas BKN 14.9 2.7 3.7
6 Noah Clowney BKN 13.4 5.2 2.5
7 Egor Demin BKN 12.5 3.2 3.3
8 Nic Claxton BKN 12.3 7.5 2.9
9 Collin Gillespie PHX 12.0 3.9 4.0
10 Royce O'Neale PHX 11.2 5.1 3.3
11 Mark Williams PHX 10.4 8.7 1.3
12 Jordan Goodwin PHX 9.7 5.6 2.6
13 Danny Wolf BKN 8.5 4.9 1.8
14 Nolan Traore BKN 8.4 2.2 3.5
15 Terance Mann BKN 7.4 3.3 3.1
16 Tyrese Martin BKN 6.5 2.1 1.2
17 Ziaire Williams BKN 6.5 1.6 0.9
18 Drake Powell BKN 6.5 1.7 1.2
19 Oso Ighodaro PHX 6.3 3.9 1.5
20 Ryan Dunn PHX 6.1 3.4 1.6
21 Jalen Wilson BKN 5.1 1.9 0.6
22 Jamaree Bouyea PHX 5.1 2.4 1.1
23 Isaiah Livers PHX 3.0 1.8 1.0
24 Rasheer Fleming PHX 2.7 1.5 0.4
25 Nick Richards PHX 2.0 2.8 0.4
26 Nigel Hayes-Davis PHX 1.8 1.2 0.3
27 Khaman Maluach PHX 1.5 1.4 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.