NBA games

BKN @ CHI

NBA United Center ·Final
102–124
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN22292031102
CHI39312529124

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHI) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home CHI
29% 71%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Nolan Traore 26 16 1 2
Danny Wolf S 25 14 3 2
Jalen Wilson 20 14 5 1
Nic Claxton S 23 12 5 4
Tyrese Martin 23 11 3 0
Egor Demin S 22 11 1 1
Terance Mann S 28 9 4 6
Noah Clowney S 30 7 8 3
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 5 5 4
Cam Thomas 24 3 3 10
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Coby White S 30 24 4 3
Ayo Dosunmu 30 19 1 5
Nikola Vucevic S 28 17 11 6
Matas Buzelis S 27 17 5 5
Jalen Smith S 31 12 10 3
Kevin Huerter 30 11 5 6
Tre Jones 24 10 0 10
Isaac Okoro S 26 9 6 2
Dalen Terry 6 3 0 0
Jevon Carter 3 2 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Isaac Okoro · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"Isaac Okoro makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
14%
2 Matas Buzelis CHI
12%
3 Coby White CHI
12%
4 Nikola Vucevic CHI
12%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
11%
6 Noah Clowney BKN
9%
7 Tre Jones CHI
8%
8 Isaac Okoro CHI
8%
9 Drake Powell BKN
7%
10 Egor Demin BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
32%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
39%
Layup
16%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 23.5 7.5 4.1
2 Nikola Vucevic CHI 22.5 9.3 5.2
3 Matas Buzelis CHI 18.6 5.5 2.9
4 Ayo Dosunmu CHI 16.7 3.6 5.3
5 Coby White CHI 15.6 4.0 5.1
6 Tre Jones CHI 14.4 3.4 6.6
7 Egor Demin BKN 13.9 3.1 3.8
8 Cam Thomas BKN 13.7 2.4 2.9
9 Noah Clowney BKN 13.0 4.4 2.4
10 Nic Claxton BKN 12.3 7.6 2.8
11 Jalen Smith CHI 11.6 9.1 1.6
12 Kevin Huerter CHI 11.1 4.4 2.3
13 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 9.9 7.8 2.6
14 Isaac Okoro CHI 9.8 3.4 1.6
15 Nolan Traore BKN 7.3 2.1 3.4
16 Danny Wolf BKN 7.1 4.5 1.8
17 Terance Mann BKN 7.0 3.3 3.2
18 Drake Powell BKN 6.9 1.9 1.3
19 Tyrese Martin BKN 5.0 2.1 1.0
20 Dalen Terry CHI 3.7 2.1 0.9
21 Jevon Carter CHI 3.4 0.9 0.7
22 Jalen Wilson BKN 3.4 1.1 0.3
23 Julian Phillips CHI 3.3 1.2 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.