NBA games

PHX @ NY

NBA Madison Square Garden ·Final
106–99
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHX19362526106
NY2729212299

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX away
home NY
83% 17%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Devin Booker S 38 27 4 4
Grayson Allen 27 16 0 3
Mark Williams S 25 14 9 1
Jordan Goodwin 20 13 3 3
Collin Gillespie S 26 11 3 6
Royce O'Neale S 30 10 5 2
Ryan Dunn 17 8 3 2
Dillon Brooks S 29 5 6 1
Oso Ighodaro 22 2 3 0
Isaiah Livers 5 0 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Karl-Anthony Towns S 35 23 11 2
Miles McBride S 36 23 2 5
OG Anunoby S 39 21 8 5
Mikal Bridges S 37 15 3 1
Jordan Clarkson 22 6 3 0
Landry Shamet 14 5 1 0
Mohamed Diawara S 12 3 4 2
Tyler Kolek 17 2 1 1
Mitchell Robinson 19 1 10 2
Guerschon Yabusele 9 0 4 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Devin Booker · Layup (2 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Devin Booker makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Dillon Brooks PHX
14%
2 OG Anunoby NY
13%
3 Devin Booker PHX
13%
4 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
12%
5 Mikal Bridges NY
11%
6 Mark Williams PHX
10%
7 Royce O'Neale PHX
8%
8 Grayson Allen PHX
7%
9 Miles McBride NY
6%
10 Collin Gillespie PHX
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
31%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
30%
Layup
20%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Devin Booker PHX 25.5 3.9 6.5
2 Dillon Brooks PHX 20.6 4.0 2.5
3 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 19.5 10.3 3.4
4 OG Anunoby NY 18.4 6.1 2.7
5 Grayson Allen PHX 15.5 3.4 3.1
6 Miles McBride NY 15.0 3.1 3.0
7 Mikal Bridges NY 14.8 4.7 4.3
8 Collin Gillespie PHX 13.1 4.1 4.0
9 Royce O'Neale PHX 11.8 5.1 3.4
10 Jordan Goodwin PHX 9.8 6.0 2.6
11 Mark Williams PHX 9.7 8.4 1.2
12 Landry Shamet NY 9.5 2.5 1.4
13 Jordan Clarkson NY 8.4 2.1 1.2
14 Oso Ighodaro PHX 6.7 4.5 1.7
15 Ryan Dunn PHX 6.2 3.7 1.6
16 Mitchell Robinson NY 5.8 9.3 1.3
17 Tyler Kolek NY 5.6 2.4 2.9
18 Guerschon Yabusele NY 3.8 2.1 0.7
19 Kevin McCullar Jr. NY 3.6 2.1 1.3
20 Rasheer Fleming PHX 3.5 1.9 0.6
21 Mohamed Diawara NY 3.1 1.4 0.5
22 Ariel Hukporti NY 3.0 3.2 0.6
23 Isaiah Livers PHX 2.9 2.3 1.0
24 Pacome Dadiet NY 2.3 1.4 0.6
25 Nick Richards PHX 2.0 2.8 0.4
26 Nigel Hayes-Davis PHX 2.0 1.2 0.3
27 Khaman Maluach PHX 1.7 1.3 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.