NBA games

UTAH @ DAL

NBA American Airlines Center ·Final
122144
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH24262943122
DAL35354232144

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DAL) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home DAL
27% 73%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brice Sensabaugh 28 27 5 1
Keyonte George S 29 17 3 3
Ace Bailey S 30 15 5 3
Walter Clayton Jr. 31 15 2 7
Cody Williams S 31 13 6 0
Kyle Anderson 26 12 6 6
Isaiah Collier S 29 10 5 12
Kyle Filipowski S 20 8 4 0
Taylor Hendricks 16 5 3 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Klay Thompson 23 26 1 6
Naji Marshall S 24 22 6 4
Jaden Hardy S 25 19 1 5
Brandon Williams S 25 18 2 3
Caleb Martin S 29 14 5 6
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 22 12 7 0
Moussa Cisse 23 10 13 2
Miles Kelly 22 9 0 1
Ryan Nembhard 23 8 4 10
Dwight Powell S 25 6 7 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kyle Filipowski · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Kyle Filipowski makes 6-foot fade away jump shot (Keyonte George assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Naji Marshall DAL
15%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
13%
3 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
11%
4 Isaiah Collier UTAH
10%
5 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
10%
6 P.J. Washington DAL
10%
7 Ace Bailey UTAH
8%
8 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
8%
9 Cody Williams UTAH
8%
10 Jaden Hardy DAL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
15%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
19%
Layup
48%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Keyonte George UTAH 25.9 4.7 7.7
2 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 17.6 4.1 2.7
3 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 17.5 11.3 6.0
4 Naji Marshall DAL 17.1 4.4 3.6
5 Brandon Williams DAL 15.2 4.3 3.3
6 P.J. Washington DAL 13.5 7.5 1.7
7 Klay Thompson DAL 11.1 2.9 1.7
8 Isaiah Collier UTAH 11.0 3.3 6.3
9 Ace Bailey UTAH 9.7 3.3 1.4
10 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 9.2 2.8 1.8
11 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 8.8 2.4 3.0
12 Cody Williams UTAH 8.5 3.4 1.2
13 Kevin Love UTAH 8.3 6.0 1.7
14 Jaden Hardy DAL 8.2 2.1 1.4
15 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 8.0 4.6 1.6
16 Kyle Anderson UTAH 7.9 4.1 2.5
17 Ryan Nembhard DAL 7.3 2.2 4.4
18 Jeremiah Robinson-Earl DAL 5.5 3.8 1.0
19 D'Angelo Russell DAL 5.4 1.3 2.0
20 Dwight Powell DAL 5.0 5.0 1.0
21 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 4.8 2.8 1.1
22 Miles Kelly DAL 4.8 1.7 1.2
23 Caleb Martin DAL 4.2 2.2 1.3
24 Moussa Cisse DAL 2.8 3.9 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.