BKN @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
113–116
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 31 | 24 | 32 | 26 | 113 |
| NO | 27 | 27 | 33 | 29 | 116 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN
away
home
NO
41%
59%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. S | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 |
| Egor Demin S | 29 | 17 | 0 | 5 |
| Cam Thomas | 24 | 16 | 1 | 5 |
| Drake Powell S | 24 | 16 | 5 | 2 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 19 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| Nic Claxton S | 29 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| Noah Clowney S | 31 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| Danny Wolf | 16 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Nolan Traore | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Terance Mann | 17 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Saddiq Bey ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Saddiq Bey makes 10-foot fade away jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Michael Porter Jr.
BKN
16%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
3
Saddiq Bey
NO
10%
4
Nic Claxton
BKN
8%
5
Derik Queen
NO
8%
6
Trey Murphy III
NO
8%
7
Jeremiah Fears
NO
8%
8
Bryce McGowens
NO
6%
9
Noah Clowney
BKN
6%
10
Terance Mann
BKN
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
4%
Jumper
52%
Layup
21%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Porter Jr. | BKN | 25.8 | 7.7 | 4.5 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 24.1 | 5.6 | 4.0 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.3 | 6.4 | 3.6 |
| 4 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 18.0 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| 5 | Cam Thomas | BKN | 16.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 6 | Egor Demin | BKN | 15.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| 7 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 14.8 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| 8 | Nic Claxton | BKN | 13.9 | 7.8 | 3.5 |
| 9 | Noah Clowney | BKN | 13.7 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| 10 | Jordan Poole | NO | 13.0 | 2.1 | 3.3 |
| 11 | Derik Queen | NO | 12.0 | 9.6 | 5.0 |
| 12 | Day'Ron Sharpe | BKN | 10.0 | 8.0 | 3.4 |
| 13 | Terance Mann | BKN | 8.1 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| 14 | Nolan Traore | BKN | 7.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 |
| 15 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 7.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 16 | Danny Wolf | BKN | 7.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Drake Powell | BKN | 6.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Tyrese Martin | BKN | 6.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.9 | 6.1 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 5.8 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Micah Peavy | NO | 5.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 22 | Jalen Wilson | BKN | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Kevon Looney | NO | 2.7 | 4.5 | 1.0 |
| 25 | Trey Alexander | NO | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.