NBA games

UTAH @ CHI

NBA United Center ·Final
126–128
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH39233232126
CHI36352334128

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHI) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home CHI
33% 67%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brice Sensabaugh 34 43 5 2
Keyonte George S 34 25 3 7
Kyle Filipowski S 31 19 7 4
Ace Bailey S 31 10 3 3
Isaiah Collier S 22 8 0 4
Kyle Anderson 17 7 5 3
Cody Williams S 31 6 7 2
Walter Clayton Jr. 21 5 4 5
Taylor Hendricks 19 3 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Nikola Vucevic S 31 35 7 5
Ayo Dosunmu 28 15 2 6
Patrick Williams 23 13 5 3
Jalen Smith 17 12 10 1
Isaac Okoro S 34 12 2 3
Dalen Terry 13 11 5 0
Kevin Huerter 19 10 3 1
Tre Jones S 26 7 0 8
Matas Buzelis S 19 7 2 2
Coby White S 30 6 7 7

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Nikola Vucevic · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Nikola Vucevic makes 5-foot floating jump shot (Coby White assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Nikola Vucevic CHI
12%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
12%
3 Matas Buzelis CHI
11%
4 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
10%
5 Coby White CHI
10%
6 Isaac Okoro CHI
8%
7 Tre Jones CHI
8%
8 Jalen Smith CHI
7%
9 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
7%
10 Cody Williams UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
22%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
42%
Layup
14%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Keyonte George UTAH 25.5 4.5 7.1
2 Nikola Vucevic CHI 20.3 9.2 4.5
3 Matas Buzelis CHI 19.1 5.9 2.9
4 Coby White CHI 18.5 4.0 4.8
5 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 16.9 11.1 5.7
6 Ayo Dosunmu CHI 15.1 3.8 5.0
7 Tre Jones CHI 14.7 3.5 6.4
8 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 14.2 3.7 2.9
9 Kevin Huerter CHI 11.6 4.6 2.8
10 Isaiah Collier UTAH 10.9 3.3 6.6
11 Isaac Okoro CHI 10.1 3.6 1.5
12 Ace Bailey UTAH 10.1 3.2 1.4
13 Jalen Smith CHI 9.7 7.6 1.6
14 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 9.5 2.9 2.0
15 Cody Williams UTAH 8.7 3.1 1.1
16 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 8.5 2.0 2.3
17 Kyle Anderson UTAH 7.6 3.8 2.4
18 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 6.3 4.1 1.4
19 Patrick Williams CHI 5.6 2.5 1.3
20 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 5.4 2.8 1.1
21 Trentyn Flowers CHI 5.1 1.9 0.8
22 Jevon Carter CHI 4.0 1.1 0.8
23 Dalen Terry CHI 3.7 2.0 1.0
24 Julian Phillips CHI 3.7 1.4 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.