TOR @ IND
NBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
·Final
115–101
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 39 | 28 | 27 | 21 | 115 |
| IND | 18 | 30 | 30 | 23 | 101 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (IND) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
IND
47%
53%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram S | 36 | 30 | 7 | 4 |
| Scottie Barnes S | 38 | 26 | 7 | 13 |
| Gradey Dick | 30 | 21 | 11 | 3 |
| Ochai Agbaji | 24 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles S | 33 | 10 | 10 | 3 |
| Jamal Shead S | 34 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| A.J. Lawson | 17 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Jamison Battle S | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Alijah Martin | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Collin Murray-Boyles ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:22 Q1
"Collin Murray-Boyles makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Scottie Barnes
TOR
15%
2
Andrew Nembhard
IND
13%
3
Pascal Siakam
IND
12%
4
Brandon Ingram
TOR
11%
5
Aaron Nesmith
IND
9%
6
Collin Murray-Boyles
TOR
9%
7
Immanuel Quickley
TOR
8%
8
Jamal Shead
TOR
8%
9
Jay Huff
IND
7%
10
Johnny Furphy
IND
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
6%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
28%
Layup
46%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pascal Siakam | IND | 23.9 | 7.1 | 4.2 |
| 2 | Scottie Barnes | TOR | 22.7 | 9.5 | 6.2 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | TOR | 22.7 | 6.9 | 3.5 |
| 4 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 20.2 | 3.8 | 8.3 |
| 5 | Immanuel Quickley | TOR | 19.1 | 4.1 | 5.5 |
| 6 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 12.8 | 5.3 | 2.7 |
| 7 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 10.7 | 2.4 | 5.2 |
| 8 | Collin Murray-Boyles | TOR | 10.6 | 8.7 | 2.6 |
| 9 | Jamal Shead | TOR | 10.5 | 2.1 | 5.4 |
| 10 | Jay Huff | IND | 9.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Jarace Walker | IND | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Micah Potter | IND | 7.8 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 7.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Johnny Furphy | IND | 6.5 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Gradey Dick | TOR | 5.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 16 | Ochai Agbaji | TOR | 5.2 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Quenton Jackson | IND | 5.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 18 | A.J. Lawson | TOR | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Alijah Martin | TOR | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Jamison Battle | TOR | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Ethan Thompson | IND | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| 22 | Tony Bradley | IND | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| 23 | Jonathan Mogbo | TOR | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Garrett Temple | TOR | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Kam Jones | IND | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.