DEN @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
122–116
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 32 | 28 | 29 | 33 | 122 |
| NO | 31 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 116 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (DEN) games this season
DEN
away
home
NO
47%
53%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray S | 37 | 35 | 2 | 9 |
| Peyton Watson S | 39 | 31 | 7 | 5 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 33 | 18 | 4 | 2 |
| Jalen Pickett S | 29 | 16 | 0 | 3 |
| Aaron Gordon S | 30 | 16 | 7 | 1 |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Spencer Jones S | 23 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 22 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jamal Murray ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:46 Q1
"Jamal Murray makes 2-foot two point shot (Jalen Pickett assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
10%
2
Saddiq Bey
NO
10%
3
Trey Murphy III
NO
10%
4
Jamal Murray
DEN
9%
5
Peyton Watson
DEN
9%
6
Aaron Gordon
DEN
9%
7
Derik Queen
NO
9%
8
Jeremiah Fears
NO
8%
9
Spencer Jones
DEN
7%
10
Hunter Tyson
DEN
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
0%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
75%
Jumper
7%
Layup
14%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 26.3 | 5.4 | 9.3 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 24.0 | 6.6 | 3.9 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 23.1 | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| 4 | Peyton Watson | DEN | 22.2 | 5.9 | 3.0 |
| 5 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 17.7 | 5.1 | 2.5 |
| 6 | Aaron Gordon | DEN | 17.7 | 6.2 | 2.3 |
| 7 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DEN | 16.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 15.1 | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| 9 | Jordan Poole | NO | 14.0 | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| 10 | Derik Queen | NO | 14.0 | 9.3 | 5.6 |
| 11 | Spencer Jones | DEN | 9.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Jalen Pickett | DEN | 8.8 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 13 | Bruce Brown | DEN | 8.4 | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 14 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 5.8 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.8 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Micah Peavy | NO | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 18 | DaRon Holmes II | DEN | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Hunter Tyson | DEN | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Julian Strawther | DEN | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Kevon Looney | NO | 3.0 | 4.8 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Trey Alexander | NO | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.