BOS @ IND
NBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
·Final
96–98
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 24 | 32 | 21 | 19 | 96 |
| IND | 19 | 34 | 26 | 19 | 98 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (IND) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS
away
home
IND
59%
41%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard S | 37 | 23 | 4 | 8 |
| Derrick White S | 36 | 18 | 4 | 5 |
| Anfernee Simons | 24 | 16 | 3 | 4 |
| Neemias Queta S | 32 | 15 | 8 | 2 |
| Sam Hauser S | 33 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
| Jordan Walsh | 26 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| Luka Garza | 16 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| Baylor Scheierman S | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Neemias Queta ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:23 Q1
"Neemias Queta makes dunk (Payton Pritchard assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jaylen Brown
BOS
15%
2
Derrick White
BOS
13%
3
Andrew Nembhard
IND
10%
4
Pascal Siakam
IND
10%
5
Payton Pritchard
BOS
9%
6
Neemias Queta
BOS
9%
7
Hugo Gonzalez
BOS
7%
8
Quenton Jackson
IND
7%
9
Johnny Furphy
IND
7%
10
Aaron Nesmith
IND
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
44%
Jumper
18%
Layup
26%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaylen Brown | BOS | 31.5 | 6.9 | 6.2 |
| 2 | Pascal Siakam | IND | 23.8 | 6.9 | 4.1 |
| 3 | Derrick White | BOS | 21.1 | 5.1 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 20.1 | 3.4 | 8.6 |
| 5 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 17.3 | 4.8 | 5.5 |
| 6 | Anfernee Simons | BOS | 14.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 13.3 | 5.2 | 3.3 |
| 8 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 12.3 | 2.8 | 5.7 |
| 9 | Neemias Queta | BOS | 10.1 | 9.4 | 1.2 |
| 10 | Luka Garza | BOS | 9.5 | 5.4 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Jay Huff | IND | 9.1 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 9.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| 13 | Micah Potter | IND | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Jarace Walker | IND | 7.9 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 15 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 7.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Johnny Furphy | IND | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Quenton Jackson | IND | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Hugo Gonzalez | BOS | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Ethan Thompson | IND | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Jordan Walsh | BOS | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Chris Boucher | BOS | 4.1 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Ron Harper Jr. | BOS | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Xavier Tillman | BOS | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Kam Jones | IND | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Tony Bradley | IND | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 27 | Max Shulga | BOS | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 28 | Amari Williams | BOS | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.