NBA games

UTAH @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
123112
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH34203633123
CLE22402426112

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home CLE
12% 88%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 34 32 5 9
Lauri Markkanen S 36 28 12 2
Kevin Love 18 11 3 2
Jusuf Nurkic S 30 11 17 3
Svi Mykhailiuk S 26 11 1 3
Cody Williams S 21 8 3 2
Brice Sensabaugh 24 7 0 1
Isaiah Collier 19 7 3 8
Kyle Filipowski 17 4 3 0
Ace Bailey 15 4 3 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Darius Garland S 34 23 2 8
Donovan Mitchell S 34 21 3 2
Evan Mobley S 34 15 9 8
Sam Merrill S 28 14 2 3
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 19 13 3 3
Jaylon Tyson 25 11 4 2
Jarrett Allen S 32 8 4 3
Craig Porter Jr. 16 5 3 1
De'Andre Hunter 18 2 0 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Keyonte George · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Keyonte George makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jarrett Allen CLE
11%
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
10%
3 Evan Mobley CLE
10%
4 Darius Garland CLE
10%
5 Donovan Mitchell CLE
8%
6 Keyonte George UTAH
8%
7 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
8%
8 Cody Williams UTAH
7%
9 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
7%
10 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
21%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
21%
Layup
35%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 27.9 5.2 7.0
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 25.8 7.9 3.3
3 Keyonte George UTAH 24.7 4.5 7.1
4 Darius Garland CLE 21.1 2.7 7.5
5 Evan Mobley CLE 18.7 7.9 4.2
6 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 17.2 10.3 5.8
7 Sam Merrill CLE 15.0 3.1 3.1
8 Jarrett Allen CLE 14.8 9.9 2.9
9 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 14.5 3.8 2.8
10 Jaylon Tyson CLE 13.6 5.5 2.4
11 De'Andre Hunter CLE 13.0 4.9 2.5
12 Isaiah Collier UTAH 11.4 3.3 7.0
13 Ace Bailey UTAH 10.6 3.2 1.4
14 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 9.2 2.1 2.5
15 Kevin Love UTAH 8.4 6.0 1.8
16 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 8.4 5.2 1.6
17 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.3 2.7 1.6
18 Kyle Anderson UTAH 8.0 3.9 2.6
19 Thomas Bryant CLE 7.4 3.7 1.2
20 Cody Williams UTAH 7.2 2.7 1.1
21 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 6.6 5.0 4.1
22 Nae'Qwan Tomlin CLE 6.0 2.8 1.1
23 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 5.9 2.9 1.2
24 Lonzo Ball CLE 5.8 3.0 3.1
25 Larry Nance Jr. CLE 4.8 2.6 1.4
26 Tyrese Proctor CLE 4.7 1.8 1.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.