NO @ ORL
NBA
Kia Center
·Final
118–128
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 26 | 33 | 39 | 20 | 118 |
| ORL | 26 | 32 | 33 | 37 | 128 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ORL) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
ORL
30%
70%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 32 | 22 | 3 | 3 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 37 | 21 | 7 | 6 |
| Jordan Poole | 23 | 21 | 0 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 28 | 16 | 4 | 3 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 18 | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| Derik Queen S | 28 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| Yves Missi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Bryce McGowens S | 26 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Micah Peavy | 19 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Noah Penda ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Noah Penda makes 23-foot three point jumper (Anthony Black assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Desmond Bane
ORL
13%
2
Paolo Banchero
ORL
12%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
4
Anthony Black
ORL
11%
5
Trey Murphy III
NO
10%
6
Derik Queen
NO
10%
7
Jeremiah Fears
NO
9%
8
Noah Penda
ORL
8%
9
Tristan da Silva
ORL
8%
10
Bryce McGowens
NO
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
15%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
23%
Jumper
30%
Layup
28%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 24.5 | 7.0 | 3.6 |
| 2 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 24.3 | 9.5 | 6.0 |
| 3 | Anthony Black | ORL | 23.4 | 4.5 | 6.2 |
| 4 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 22.6 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| 5 | Desmond Bane | ORL | 21.8 | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| 6 | Derik Queen | NO | 14.5 | 10.5 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 14.4 | 4.5 | 3.7 |
| 8 | Jordan Poole | NO | 13.4 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 9 | Tristan da Silva | ORL | 9.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| 10 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 8.9 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Jase Richardson | ORL | 8.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 12 | Tyus Jones | ORL | 7.0 | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| 13 | Noah Penda | ORL | 6.8 | 5.0 | 1.5 |
| 14 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 6.0 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.9 | 5.4 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 5.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Micah Peavy | NO | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Jamal Cain | ORL | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Jett Howard | ORL | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 21 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Trey Alexander | NO | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Kevon Looney | NO | 3.5 | 5.0 | 1.2 |
| 24 | Orlando Robinson | ORL | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.