NBA games

CHA @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
150–95
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHA45323835150
UTAH1424263195

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA away
home UTAH
74% 26%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tre Mann 12 20 1 1
Brandon Miller S 22 18 4 4
LaMelo Ball S 23 17 5 5
Miles Bridges S 22 15 7 5
Collin Sexton 18 15 5 4
Josh Green 25 13 4 2
Ryan Kalkbrenner 24 12 9 0
Kon Knueppel S 18 12 0 6
Moussa Diabate S 25 10 10 1
Grant Williams 14 9 8 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brice Sensabaugh S 30 26 3 0
Isaiah Collier 34 17 1 9
Cody Williams S 32 15 2 0
Walter Clayton Jr. 30 13 0 4
Kyle Anderson 21 7 4 2
Taylor Hendricks S 29 7 4 1
Kyle Filipowski 25 4 10 1
Keyonte George S 23 4 2 5
Kevin Love S 15 2 5 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Brandon Miller · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Brandon Miller makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kon Knueppel assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
11%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
3 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
8%
4 Miles Bridges CHA
8%
5 Brandon Miller CHA
8%
6 Ryan Kalkbrenner CHA
8%
7 Moussa Diabate CHA
7%
8 Cody Williams UTAH
7%
9 Kevin Love UTAH
7%
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
5%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
69%
Jumper
13%
Layup
12%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 26.0 7.6 3.4
2 Keyonte George UTAH 25.3 4.6 7.6
3 LaMelo Ball CHA 23.8 4.1 7.1
4 Brandon Miller CHA 22.1 4.9 3.4
5 Kon Knueppel CHA 20.2 4.8 4.1
6 Miles Bridges CHA 18.2 6.8 3.9
7 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 16.9 10.0 5.8
8 Collin Sexton CHA 13.8 2.4 4.3
9 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 13.3 3.8 2.8
10 Isaiah Collier UTAH 10.1 3.1 7.0
11 Kevin Love UTAH 8.6 5.8 1.8
12 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.5 2.6 1.7
13 Moussa Diabate CHA 8.5 9.9 2.1
14 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 8.4 2.2 2.4
15 Ryan Kalkbrenner CHA 8.3 5.8 1.1
16 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 8.2 4.2 1.6
17 Kyle Anderson UTAH 7.6 3.4 2.5
18 Sion James CHA 7.3 3.4 2.7
19 Tidjane Salaun CHA 6.8 4.7 1.2
20 Cody Williams UTAH 6.0 2.3 1.1
21 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 5.8 2.5 1.1
22 Josh Green CHA 5.5 1.8 1.2
23 Tre Mann CHA 4.0 1.6 1.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.