MIL @ LAL
NBA
crypto.com Arena
·Final
105–101
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 24 | 37 | 25 | 19 | 105 |
| LAL | 25 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 101 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 10 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
LAL
42%
58%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. S | 39 | 22 | 5 | 6 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo S | 31 | 21 | 6 | 5 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 23 | 13 | 3 | 2 |
| AJ Green S | 35 | 11 | 2 | 2 |
| Bobby Portis | 30 | 11 | 12 | 3 |
| Ryan Rollins S | 31 | 10 | 6 | 2 |
| Myles Turner S | 23 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Gary Harris | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Luka Doncic ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:38 Q1
"Luka Doncic makes 23-foot three point jumper (LeBron James assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
13%
2
Luka Doncic
LAL
13%
3
Kevin Porter Jr.
MIL
10%
4
Deandre Ayton
LAL
10%
5
LeBron James
LAL
9%
6
Ryan Rollins
MIL
8%
7
AJ Green
MIL
8%
8
Myles Turner
MIL
8%
9
Jake LaRavia
LAL
8%
10
Marcus Smart
LAL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
7%
Layup
64%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luka Doncic | LAL | 30.1 | 5.9 | 9.3 |
| 2 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 28.4 | 9.5 | 4.5 |
| 3 | LeBron James | LAL | 25.8 | 5.1 | 6.5 |
| 4 | Kevin Porter Jr. | MIL | 20.8 | 5.8 | 8.8 |
| 5 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 18.9 | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| 6 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 16.0 | 7.9 | 1.7 |
| 7 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 13.1 | 5.6 | 2.9 |
| 8 | Jake LaRavia | LAL | 12.9 | 5.7 | 2.5 |
| 9 | Myles Turner | MIL | 12.5 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Deandre Ayton | LAL | 12.1 | 8.0 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Marcus Smart | LAL | 9.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| 12 | AJ Green | MIL | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Jarred Vanderbilt | LAL | 7.4 | 5.0 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Jaxson Hayes | LAL | 7.3 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| 15 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 7.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Nick Smith Jr. | LAL | 6.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Gabe Vincent | LAL | 6.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Jericho Sims | MIL | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Gary Harris | MIL | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Dalton Knecht | LAL | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Maxi Kleber | LAL | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Bronny James | LAL | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Cole Anthony | MIL | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 24 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Thanasis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 26 | Amir Coffey | MIL | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.