NBA games

UTAH @ GS

NBA Chase Center ·Final
114–123
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH29363118114
GS25334223123

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home GS
27% 73%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 41 35 6 1
Keyonte George S 36 22 2 9
Brice Sensabaugh S 27 12 2 2
Svi Mykhailiuk S 28 10 3 2
Isaiah Collier 22 8 5 7
Walter Clayton Jr. 17 8 3 2
Kyle Filipowski 19 7 1 1
Cody Williams 13 6 3 0
Kevin Love S 24 5 10 5
Taylor Hendricks 12 1 2 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Stephen Curry S 34 31 2 5
Quinten Post S 23 15 5 2
Jimmy Butler III S 34 15 3 7
De'Anthony Melton 25 13 7 2
Gary Payton II 21 10 8 2
Trayce Jackson-Davis 17 9 6 0
Draymond Green S 12 8 3 2
Moses Moody S 25 8 2 2
Will Richard 18 8 2 0
Brandin Podziemski 24 6 6 8

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Lauri Markkanen · Layup (2 pts) · 10:28 Q1
"Lauri Markkanen makes running layup (Keyonte George assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
2 Jimmy Butler III GS
10%
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
8%
4 Quinten Post GS
7%
5 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
6%
6 Draymond Green GS
6%
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH
6%
8 Moses Moody GS
6%
9 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
6%
10 Taylor Hendricks UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
7%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
66%
Jumper
16%
Layup
10%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Keyonte George UTAH 28.2 5.3 6.8
2 Stephen Curry GS 27.8 4.9 5.8
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 24.2 8.0 2.5
4 Jimmy Butler III GS 22.2 6.2 5.7
5 Brandin Podziemski GS 13.4 4.0 4.1
6 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 12.8 3.5 2.5
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH 12.5 3.8 8.6
8 Draymond Green GS 11.2 5.9 4.5
9 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 10.2 5.8 1.7
10 Moses Moody GS 9.9 4.2 2.0
11 Quinten Post GS 9.1 4.2 1.9
12 Kyle Anderson UTAH 8.5 3.4 2.7
13 Will Richard GS 8.5 3.0 1.7
14 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.1 2.5 1.6
15 Pat Spencer GS 8.0 2.8 4.3
16 Jonathan Kuminga GS 7.9 4.8 2.0
17 Buddy Hield GS 7.9 3.7 1.4
18 De'Anthony Melton GS 7.7 2.7 2.1
19 Kevin Love UTAH 7.5 5.4 1.2
20 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 7.4 3.0 1.1
21 Gui Santos GS 6.0 3.7 1.5
22 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 5.9 5.6 1.3
23 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 5.9 1.9 1.8
24 Gary Payton II GS 5.2 2.7 1.9
25 Cody Williams UTAH 5.2 1.9 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.