NBA games

HOU @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
120–96
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
HOU26273730120
BKN2022252996

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (HOU) games this season
HOU away
home BKN
47% 53%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Amen Thompson S 32 23 4 3
Kevin Durant S 37 22 5 11
Alperen Sengun S 34 20 6 6
Tari Eason S 22 15 9 0
Jabari Smith Jr. S 32 14 6 1
Reed Sheppard 31 14 2 1
Josh Okogie 21 5 5 2
Jae'Sean Tate 11 4 4 1
Aaron Holiday 3 3 0 1
Dorian Finney-Smith 15 0 3 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas 23 21 1 1
Ziaire Williams S 27 14 2 0
Noah Clowney S 26 11 1 0
Nic Claxton S 24 11 8 2
Danny Wolf S 29 9 4 5
Drake Powell S 25 8 0 1
Jalen Wilson 23 8 3 0
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 8 8 7
Nolan Traore 26 3 0 2
Tyrese Martin 18 3 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Alperen Sengun · Layup (2 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Alperen Sengun makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Amen Thompson HOU
15%
2 Alperen Sengun HOU
14%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
13%
4 Noah Clowney BKN
11%
5 Jabari Smith Jr. HOU
9%
6 Kevin Durant HOU
9%
7 Steven Adams HOU
8%
8 Egor Demin BKN
7%
9 Terance Mann BKN
6%
10 Tari Eason HOU
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
4%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
42%
Layup
25%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Alperen Sengun HOU 26.2 9.8 6.3
2 Kevin Durant HOU 25.6 5.2 5.1
3 Cam Thomas BKN 21.4 2.1 3.3
4 Amen Thompson HOU 19.4 7.6 5.9
5 Jabari Smith Jr. HOU 17.8 7.0 2.6
6 Noah Clowney BKN 15.6 4.6 2.5
7 Reed Sheppard HOU 14.6 3.0 3.6
8 Nic Claxton BKN 14.3 8.1 4.5
9 Egor Demin BKN 12.8 2.4 3.4
10 Tari Eason HOU 9.9 4.7 1.5
11 Danny Wolf BKN 8.5 3.5 2.0
12 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.9 5.5 2.6
13 Terance Mann BKN 7.3 3.3 3.4
14 Ziaire Williams BKN 7.0 1.9 0.9
15 Josh Okogie HOU 6.4 2.9 1.2
16 Steven Adams HOU 6.2 6.2 1.3
17 Tyrese Martin BKN 5.4 2.1 1.4
18 Drake Powell BKN 5.3 1.5 1.6
19 Aaron Holiday HOU 5.2 1.4 0.9
20 Dorian Finney-Smith HOU 4.3 1.7 0.8
21 Clint Capela HOU 4.2 4.4 0.6
22 Nolan Traore BKN 4.1 1.1 1.4
23 Jae'Sean Tate HOU 4.0 2.0 0.9
24 Jalen Wilson BKN 2.9 0.7 0.5
25 Jeff Green HOU 2.7 1.1 0.5
26 JD Davison HOU 2.5 1.1 1.0

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.