NBA games

BOS @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
129–119
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BOS31284030129
UTAH38263223119

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS away
home UTAH
20% 80%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Derrick White S 36 27 7 6
Jaylen Brown S 34 23 6 10
Anfernee Simons 28 20 5 4
Payton Pritchard S 35 18 4 6
Luka Garza 19 15 6 0
Neemias Queta S 29 12 3 0
Jordan Walsh S 13 6 3 0
Sam Hauser 17 5 5 0
Hugo Gonzalez 17 3 4 1
Baylor Scheierman 12 0 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 39 37 6 7
Jusuf Nurkic S 34 26 8 8
Lauri Markkanen S 38 22 9 2
Kyle Filipowski 14 10 3 0
Walter Clayton Jr. 21 7 0 1
Isaiah Collier 24 7 6 8
Brice Sensabaugh S 39 5 5 3
Taylor Hendricks S 17 3 3 2
Cody Williams 13 2 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Keyonte George · Layup (2 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Keyonte George makes layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Derrick White BOS
12%
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
11%
3 Neemias Queta BOS
10%
4 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
5 Jaylen Brown BOS
9%
6 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
9%
7 Payton Pritchard BOS
8%
8 Jordan Walsh BOS
8%
9 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
8%
10 Josh Minott BOS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
35%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
28%
Layup
28%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jaylen Brown BOS 32.3 7.1 7.8
2 Keyonte George UTAH 25.4 4.6 6.4
3 Derrick White BOS 23.6 5.1 6.4
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 23.5 7.5 2.5
5 Payton Pritchard BOS 17.7 4.8 6.5
6 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 13.7 9.0 4.7
7 Anfernee Simons BOS 12.2 2.8 1.9
8 Neemias Queta BOS 11.8 8.5 1.9
9 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 11.0 6.4 1.8
10 Jordan Walsh BOS 10.3 5.1 1.5
11 Isaiah Collier UTAH 10.2 2.2 6.5
12 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 8.8 2.6 1.6
13 Sam Hauser BOS 8.6 3.5 1.4
14 Hugo Gonzalez BOS 7.8 5.0 1.3
15 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.5 2.3 1.6
16 Luka Garza BOS 6.5 3.8 1.3
17 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 6.5 1.4 2.3
18 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 6.1 2.3 0.8
19 Josh Minott BOS 5.3 2.4 0.9
20 Chris Boucher BOS 5.0 3.5 0.8
21 Kyle Anderson UTAH 4.4 1.9 2.4
22 Baylor Scheierman BOS 4.3 1.8 1.2
23 Xavier Tillman BOS 3.5 1.4 0.7
24 Cody Williams UTAH 3.2 1.5 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.