UTAH @ SA
NBA
Frost Bank Center
·Final
127–114
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 32 | 38 | 28 | 29 | 127 |
| SA | 40 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 114 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SA) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
SA
17%
83%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen S | 34 | 29 | 5 | 1 |
| Keyonte George S | 35 | 28 | 5 | 6 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 22 | 17 | 2 | 5 |
| Jusuf Nurkic S | 26 | 16 | 7 | 6 |
| Brice Sensabaugh S | 34 | 11 | 4 | 3 |
| Cody Williams | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 |
| Isaiah Collier | 15 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 22 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk S | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Taylor Hendricks | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Brice Sensabaugh ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:20 Q1
"Brice Sensabaugh makes 13-foot two point shot (Lauri Markkanen assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Stephon Castle
SA
16%
2
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
15%
3
Luke Kornet
SA
14%
4
Harrison Barnes
SA
12%
5
Devin Vassell
SA
11%
6
Jusuf Nurkic
UTAH
11%
7
Keyonte George
UTAH
11%
8
Svi Mykhailiuk
UTAH
10%
9
Cody Williams
UTAH
0%
10
Kyle Anderson
UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
27%
Jumper
22%
Layup
24%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 26.6 | 4.7 | 6.7 |
| 2 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 24.9 | 7.9 | 2.9 |
| 3 | Victor Wembanyama | SA | 24.6 | 10.6 | 4.9 |
| 4 | Stephon Castle | SA | 20.9 | 4.4 | 7.4 |
| 5 | Devin Vassell | SA | 14.7 | 4.8 | 3.0 |
| 6 | Jusuf Nurkic | UTAH | 13.1 | 10.0 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Harrison Barnes | SA | 12.3 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Dylan Harper | SA | 12.2 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| 9 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 11.8 | 7.3 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Keldon Johnson | SA | 10.9 | 5.9 | 1.2 |
| 11 | Luke Kornet | SA | 10.0 | 8.1 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 10.0 | 2.3 | 6.9 |
| 13 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 9.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 9.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 15 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 8.2 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| 16 | Walter Clayton Jr. | UTAH | 7.0 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 17 | Taylor Hendricks | UTAH | 6.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Kyle Anderson | UTAH | 4.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| 19 | Kelly Olynyk | SA | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Jeremy Sochan | SA | 4.2 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Jordan McLaughlin | SA | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| 22 | Carter Bryant | SA | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Lindy Waters III | SA | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Bismack Biyombo | SA | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.