PHX @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
115–108
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 26 | 27 | 28 | 34 | 115 |
| NO | 23 | 25 | 32 | 28 | 108 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX
away
home
NO
52%
48%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker S | 36 | 30 | 9 | 5 |
| Mark Williams S | 27 | 24 | 13 | 2 |
| Collin Gillespie S | 35 | 16 | 3 | 9 |
| Dillon Brooks S | 33 | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| Ryan Dunn | 21 | 9 | 8 | 1 |
| Oso Ighodaro | 21 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Rasheer Fleming | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Goodwin | 20 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Royce O'Neale S | 25 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trey Murphy III ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Trey Murphy III makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (Derik Queen assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Dillon Brooks
PHX
15%
2
Jeremiah Fears
NO
13%
3
Derik Queen
NO
12%
4
Saddiq Bey
NO
11%
5
Mark Williams
PHX
11%
6
Trey Murphy III
NO
10%
7
Devin Booker
PHX
10%
8
Collin Gillespie
PHX
7%
9
Bryce McGowens
NO
7%
10
Royce O'Neale
PHX
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
45%
Layup
19%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Booker | PHX | 24.5 | 4.6 | 6.6 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 23.6 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| 3 | Dillon Brooks | PHX | 22.6 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 4 | Zion Williamson | NO | 22.0 | 5.8 | 3.5 |
| 5 | Derik Queen | NO | 18.4 | 8.5 | 5.8 |
| 6 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 17.8 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| 7 | Jordan Poole | NO | 17.3 | 2.4 | 3.8 |
| 8 | Collin Gillespie | PHX | 17.2 | 4.1 | 5.2 |
| 9 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 15.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| 10 | Mark Williams | PHX | 13.0 | 8.3 | 1.8 |
| 11 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 11.0 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 12 | Royce O'Neale | PHX | 10.1 | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| 13 | Jordan Goodwin | PHX | 9.9 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| 14 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 8.4 | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| 15 | Jamaree Bouyea | PHX | 8.1 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| 16 | Oso Ighodaro | PHX | 7.1 | 5.8 | 2.2 |
| 17 | Ryan Dunn | PHX | 6.5 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| 18 | Micah Peavy | NO | 5.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 20 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 4.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Yves Missi | NO | 4.7 | 5.0 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Rasheer Fleming | PHX | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Kevon Looney | NO | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Nigel Hayes-Davis | PHX | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Khaman Maluach | PHX | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Nick Richards | PHX | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.