NO @ CLE
NBA
Rocket Arena
·Final
118–141
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 22 | 38 | 31 | 27 | 118 |
| CLE | 32 | 37 | 41 | 31 | 141 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
CLE
65%
35%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 21 | 26 | 5 | 1 |
| Derik Queen S | 25 | 21 | 7 | 5 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 26 | 14 | 3 | 5 |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 27 | 11 | 4 | 5 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 26 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Bryce McGowens S | 31 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Yves Missi | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Jose Alvarado | 25 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Micah Peavy | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trey Murphy III ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Trey Murphy III makes 25-foot running jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jeremiah Fears
NO
14%
2
Derik Queen
NO
13%
3
Darius Garland
CLE
13%
4
Saddiq Bey
NO
12%
5
Jaylon Tyson
CLE
11%
6
Trey Murphy III
NO
11%
7
Jarrett Allen
CLE
10%
8
Donovan Mitchell
CLE
7%
9
Dean Wade
CLE
7%
10
Zion Williamson
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
11%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
32%
Layup
35%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 28.8 | 4.3 | 6.4 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 23.8 | 6.2 | 4.8 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NO | 22.6 | 6.5 | 4.0 |
| 4 | Darius Garland | CLE | 21.3 | 3.6 | 7.9 |
| 5 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 19.3 | 6.9 | 2.6 |
| 6 | Derik Queen | NO | 18.2 | 8.7 | 5.6 |
| 7 | Jaylon Tyson | CLE | 16.7 | 6.5 | 2.8 |
| 8 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 16.4 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Jarrett Allen | CLE | 14.1 | 7.8 | 2.3 |
| 10 | De'Andre Hunter | CLE | 12.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Sam Merrill | CLE | 11.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 10.1 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 9.6 | 2.9 | 4.0 |
| 14 | Lonzo Ball | CLE | 7.4 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| 15 | Dean Wade | CLE | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Thomas Bryant | CLE | 6.7 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Nae'Qwan Tomlin | CLE | 6.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Micah Peavy | NO | 6.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Tyrese Proctor | CLE | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 21 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.4 | 6.0 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Craig Porter Jr. | CLE | 4.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 24 | Kevon Looney | NO | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.