NBA games

BKN @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
114–106
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN27362625114
PHI27302029106

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home PHI
41% 59%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Michael Porter Jr. S 34 28 5 1
Egor Demin S 33 20 2 5
Nic Claxton S 27 16 10 2
Noah Clowney S 28 13 1 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 21 9 11 6
Ziaire Williams 18 9 0 0
Tyrese Martin 12 7 2 1
Nolan Traore 14 5 1 2
Terance Mann S 30 4 5 4
Danny Wolf 22 3 2 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Joel Embiid S 31 27 6 4
Paul George S 33 19 4 2
Tyrese Maxey S 39 13 3 2
Andre Drummond 17 12 13 0
Eric Gordon 17 12 0 0
Jared McCain S 39 10 9 4
Jabari Walker S 13 5 4 1
Adem Bona 19 4 1 0
Justin Edwards 20 4 2 0
Kyle Lowry 10 0 1 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Joel Embiid · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:21 Q1
"Joel Embiid makes 10-foot fade away jump shot (Jared McCain assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
15%
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI
14%
3 Joel Embiid PHI
13%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
5 Paul George PHI
10%
6 Egor Demin BKN
10%
7 Noah Clowney BKN
9%
8 Terance Mann BKN
9%
9 Andre Drummond PHI
8%
10 Ziaire Williams BKN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
26%
Jumper
26%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 27.3 4.3 6.2
2 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 26.2 7.1 4.1
3 Joel Embiid PHI 22.7 6.8 3.2
4 Paul George PHI 18.3 4.7 3.8
5 Noah Clowney BKN 15.8 5.0 2.6
6 Nic Claxton BKN 13.9 8.8 4.8
7 Egor Demin BKN 12.3 3.5 3.5
8 Danny Wolf BKN 10.8 4.8 2.1
9 Jared McCain PHI 9.3 3.0 2.6
10 Terance Mann BKN 8.4 3.7 3.8
11 Ziaire Williams BKN 8.2 2.9 1.4
12 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.2 5.3 2.3
13 Tyrese Martin BKN 6.9 3.2 2.1
14 Andre Drummond PHI 6.2 7.3 1.3
15 Jabari Walker PHI 6.2 4.0 0.8
16 Adem Bona PHI 5.1 4.6 0.6
17 Ben Saraf BKN 4.8 1.3 2.6
18 Justin Edwards PHI 4.5 1.4 1.3
19 Nolan Traore BKN 4.0 1.4 1.5
20 Jalen Wilson BKN 3.2 0.9 0.5
21 Eric Gordon PHI 2.9 0.5 0.5
22 Johni Broome PHI 2.1 1.8 0.4
23 Hunter Sallis PHI 2.0 0.8 0.6
24 Kyle Lowry PHI 1.8 0.5 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.