NBA games

CHI @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
136–125
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHI32343535136
CLE32234426125

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI away
home CLE
31% 69%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Matas Buzelis S 33 24 5 1
Nikola Vucevic S 32 24 15 2
Josh Giddey S 30 17 6 7
Tre Jones 22 16 1 6
Kevin Huerter 20 14 5 3
Zach Collins 19 13 3 2
Coby White S 30 13 6 9
Ayo Dosunmu 14 8 1 3
Jalen Smith 15 4 4 0
Isaac Okoro S 20 3 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Darius Garland S 33 35 2 8
Tyrese Proctor S 27 16 6 3
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 21 15 3 2
Jarrett Allen S 30 14 12 5
De'Andre Hunter 26 11 3 1
Thomas Bryant 16 11 4 2
Jaylon Tyson S 26 9 5 1
Lonzo Ball 28 8 3 8
Luke Travers 6 4 3 0
Dean Wade S 28 2 5 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Tyrese Proctor · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:22 Q1
"Tyrese Proctor makes 27-foot three point step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Darius Garland CLE
10%
2 Nikola Vucevic CHI
10%
3 Josh Giddey CHI
10%
4 Jarrett Allen CLE
10%
5 Jaylon Tyson CLE
10%
6 Ayo Dosunmu CHI
10%
7 Matas Buzelis CHI
9%
8 Coby White CHI
9%
9 Isaac Okoro CHI
8%
10 Dean Wade CLE
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
27%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
27%
Layup
24%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 29.7 4.0 6.5
2 Coby White CHI 23.8 3.8 5.3
3 Josh Giddey CHI 22.8 8.3 7.8
4 Darius Garland CLE 19.2 3.8 6.6
5 Jaylon Tyson CLE 17.6 7.0 2.6
6 Nikola Vucevic CHI 17.4 8.4 3.6
7 Ayo Dosunmu CHI 15.6 3.1 3.1
8 Jarrett Allen CLE 14.3 7.1 2.2
9 Matas Buzelis CHI 13.7 5.4 2.2
10 De'Andre Hunter CLE 12.7 3.7 1.8
11 Tre Jones CHI 12.4 2.8 4.9
12 Isaac Okoro CHI 10.5 3.3 1.6
13 Zach Collins CHI 9.0 4.4 1.6
14 Kevin Huerter CHI 8.9 3.0 1.7
15 Jalen Smith CHI 8.4 5.7 1.3
16 Lonzo Ball CLE 7.4 5.1 3.7
17 Patrick Williams CHI 7.1 3.6 1.2
18 Dean Wade CLE 6.8 3.8 1.9
19 Nae'Qwan Tomlin CLE 6.8 3.9 1.1
20 Thomas Bryant CLE 5.5 3.6 0.8
21 Dalen Terry CHI 5.1 2.6 1.8
22 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 5.0 3.5 2.0
23 Tyrese Proctor CLE 4.8 1.8 1.5
24 Jevon Carter CHI 4.3 1.2 0.8
25 Julian Phillips CHI 3.7 1.7 0.5
26 Luke Travers CLE 2.3 1.8 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.