LAL @ UTAH
NBA
Delta Center
·Final
143–135
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 32 | 41 | 29 | 41 | 143 |
| UTAH | 41 | 37 | 28 | 29 | 135 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (LAL) games this season
LAL
away
home
UTAH
64%
36%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic S | 40 | 45 | 11 | 14 |
| LeBron James S | 33 | 28 | 7 | 10 |
| Marcus Smart S | 28 | 17 | 4 | 1 |
| Jaxson Hayes S | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| Rui Hachimura S | 33 | 13 | 3 | 1 |
| Jake LaRavia | 28 | 12 | 6 | 4 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 25 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Adou Thiero | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dalton Knecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kyle Filipowski ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"Kyle Filipowski makes 4-foot dunk (Keyonte George assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Luka Doncic
LAL
16%
2
LeBron James
LAL
12%
3
Keyonte George
UTAH
11%
4
Jusuf Nurkic
UTAH
10%
5
Ace Bailey
UTAH
9%
6
Marcus Smart
LAL
9%
7
Svi Mykhailiuk
UTAH
8%
8
Kyle Filipowski
UTAH
8%
9
Brice Sensabaugh
UTAH
8%
10
Rui Hachimura
LAL
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
10%
Layup
60%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luka Doncic | LAL | 36.0 | 8.4 | 9.9 |
| 2 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 25.4 | 4.6 | 7.0 |
| 3 | LeBron James | LAL | 21.2 | 6.1 | 7.5 |
| 4 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 12.7 | 6.8 | 2.4 |
| 5 | Ace Bailey | UTAH | 12.3 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
| 6 | Marcus Smart | LAL | 12.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| 7 | Jusuf Nurkic | UTAH | 10.9 | 9.3 | 4.2 |
| 8 | Rui Hachimura | LAL | 10.4 | 3.8 | 0.9 |
| 9 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 8.4 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Walter Clayton Jr. | UTAH | 6.7 | 2.0 | 3.7 |
| 12 | Kevin Love | UTAH | 6.3 | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| 13 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 6.2 | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| 14 | Kyle Anderson | UTAH | 5.9 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| 15 | Gabe Vincent | LAL | 5.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Jake LaRavia | LAL | 5.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Taylor Hendricks | UTAH | 5.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Nick Smith Jr. | LAL | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Jaxson Hayes | LAL | 5.2 | 4.4 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Dalton Knecht | LAL | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Jarred Vanderbilt | LAL | 4.3 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Maxi Kleber | LAL | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Adou Thiero | LAL | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.