NBA games

UTAH @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
123–110
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH20293242123
BKN29293220110

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home BKN
21% 79%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 35 30 8 1
Keyonte George S 31 29 5 10
Kyle Filipowski S 31 15 8 5
Walter Clayton Jr. 24 13 3 3
Svi Mykhailiuk S 25 10 3 3
Brice Sensabaugh 22 8 3 3
Kyle Anderson 17 8 5 3
Ace Bailey S 25 5 2 0
Isaiah Collier 15 3 1 3
Taylor Hendricks 7 2 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Noah Clowney S 34 29 4 3
Ziaire Williams 28 23 0 1
Danny Wolf 28 17 9 3
Ben Saraf 24 12 2 2
Nic Claxton S 29 12 9 4
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 10 7 2
Terance Mann S 18 3 4 2
Egor Demin S 20 3 1 2
Jalen Wilson 16 1 1 0
Tyrese Martin S 22 0 7 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Lauri Markkanen · Layup (2 pts) · 10:59 Q1
"Lauri Markkanen makes two point shot (Keyonte George assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
16%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
13%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
4 Ace Bailey UTAH
12%
5 Egor Demin BKN
10%
6 Noah Clowney BKN
10%
7 Terance Mann BKN
9%
8 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
9%
9 Tyrese Martin BKN
8%
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
32%
Jumper
24%
Layup
33%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 24.8 6.0 2.5
2 Keyonte George UTAH 24.7 4.2 6.9
3 Noah Clowney BKN 17.7 4.1 2.4
4 Nic Claxton BKN 13.6 8.3 4.8
5 Ace Bailey UTAH 13.2 3.4 2.1
6 Egor Demin BKN 12.4 3.8 4.4
7 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 10.7 6.4 2.1
8 Tyrese Martin BKN 10.2 3.2 2.8
9 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 9.7 2.7 2.4
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 9.3 3.4 1.4
11 Isaiah Collier UTAH 8.7 2.9 5.2
12 Terance Mann BKN 8.5 3.3 3.6
13 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 8.3 2.9 1.4
14 Drake Powell BKN 7.3 2.3 2.1
15 Danny Wolf BKN 7.1 3.2 2.4
16 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.4 5.5 1.7
17 Ben Saraf BKN 6.2 2.0 3.0
18 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 5.5 2.1 3.5
19 Kyle Anderson UTAH 5.4 2.3 3.3
20 Jalen Wilson BKN 4.3 1.3 0.6
21 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 3.0 2.5 0.5
22 Cody Williams UTAH 2.5 0.9 0.4
23 Tyson Etienne BKN 2.0 0.8 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.