BOS @ WSH
NBA
Capital One Arena
·Final
146–101
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 32 | 34 | 43 | 37 | 146 |
| WSH | 26 | 33 | 27 | 15 | 101 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (WSH) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS
away
home
WSH
79%
21%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White S | 29 | 30 | 7 | 9 |
| Jordan Walsh S | 30 | 22 | 7 | 3 |
| Payton Pritchard S | 32 | 20 | 6 | 8 |
| Neemias Queta S | 21 | 17 | 4 | 2 |
| Anfernee Simons | 25 | 16 | 2 | 3 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 18 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| Josh Minott | 22 | 11 | 4 | 2 |
| Sam Hauser S | 21 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Luka Garza | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 25 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Neemias Queta ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:41 Q1
"Neemias Queta makes 1-foot two point shot (Jordan Walsh assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kyshawn George
WSH
12%
2
Neemias Queta
BOS
11%
3
CJ McCollum
WSH
10%
4
Payton Pritchard
BOS
10%
5
Jordan Walsh
BOS
10%
6
Marvin Bagley III
WSH
10%
7
Derrick White
BOS
9%
8
Khris Middleton
WSH
9%
9
Justin Champagnie
WSH
9%
10
Xavier Tillman
BOS
9%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
52%
Layup
17%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJ McCollum | WSH | 21.6 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| 2 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 20.1 | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| 3 | Derrick White | BOS | 19.8 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| 4 | Kyshawn George | WSH | 15.4 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| 5 | Anfernee Simons | BOS | 12.6 | 3.0 | 3.7 |
| 6 | Neemias Queta | BOS | 11.0 | 9.4 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Khris Middleton | WSH | 10.6 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| 8 | Cam Whitmore | WSH | 9.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 9 | Marvin Bagley III | WSH | 8.9 | 5.8 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Bub Carrington | WSH | 8.4 | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| 11 | Jordan Walsh | BOS | 8.1 | 5.8 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Tristan Vukcevic | WSH | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 7.1 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Josh Minott | BOS | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Luka Garza | BOS | 5.8 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| 16 | Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Justin Champagnie | WSH | 4.6 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Malaki Branham | WSH | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Hugo Gonzalez | BOS | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Xavier Tillman | BOS | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Will Riley | WSH | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Chris Boucher | BOS | 3.3 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| 23 | Ron Harper Jr. | BOS | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Anthony Gill | WSH | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Jamir Watkins | WSH | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| 26 | Amari Williams | BOS | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 27 | AJ Johnson | WSH | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.