WSH @ PHI
NBA
Xfinity Mobile Arena
·Final
102–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 31 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 102 |
| PHI | 34 | 32 | 35 | 20 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH
away
home
PHI
31%
69%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Vukcevic | 22 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| Marvin Bagley III S | 26 | 13 | 8 | 1 |
| Justin Champagnie S | 24 | 13 | 7 | 1 |
| Will Riley | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 |
| Kyshawn George S | 33 | 11 | 8 | 5 |
| Bub Carrington | 25 | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| CJ McCollum S | 24 | 10 | 3 | 4 |
| Malaki Branham | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| Cam Whitmore | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Anthony Gill | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Dominick Barlow ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Dominick Barlow makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
CJ McCollum
WSH
15%
2
Paul George
PHI
13%
3
Kyshawn George
WSH
13%
4
Marvin Bagley III
WSH
12%
5
Khris Middleton
WSH
10%
6
Dominick Barlow
PHI
10%
7
Bilal Coulibaly
WSH
9%
8
Tyrese Maxey
PHI
9%
9
VJ Edgecombe
PHI
9%
10
Bub Carrington
WSH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
27%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
37%
Layup
21%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 31.2 | 4.6 | 7.3 |
| 2 | CJ McCollum | WSH | 22.6 | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| 3 | Paul George | PHI | 15.3 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| 4 | Kyshawn George | WSH | 15.2 | 5.0 | 5.5 |
| 5 | VJ Edgecombe | PHI | 14.0 | 6.2 | 4.0 |
| 6 | Andre Drummond | PHI | 11.9 | 10.8 | 1.4 |
| 7 | Cam Whitmore | WSH | 11.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 8 | Khris Middleton | WSH | 10.9 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| 9 | Bilal Coulibaly | WSH | 10.6 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| 10 | Dominick Barlow | PHI | 10.5 | 6.1 | 2.4 |
| 11 | Bub Carrington | WSH | 8.5 | 3.0 | 3.7 |
| 12 | Justin Edwards | PHI | 8.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 13 | Marvin Bagley III | WSH | 8.3 | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Jared McCain | PHI | 6.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Tristan Vukcevic | WSH | 6.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Adem Bona | PHI | 4.7 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| 17 | Jabari Walker | PHI | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Justin Champagnie | WSH | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Eric Gordon | PHI | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 20 | Johni Broome | PHI | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Malaki Branham | WSH | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Hunter Sallis | PHI | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Will Riley | WSH | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Anthony Gill | WSH | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.