NO @ LAL
NBA
crypto.com Arena
·Final
121–133
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 27 | 30 | 35 | 29 | 121 |
| LAL | 46 | 31 | 31 | 25 | 133 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
LAL
17%
83%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce McGowens S | 33 | 23 | 7 | 5 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 33 | 22 | 11 | 3 |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 27 | 21 | 2 | 3 |
| Derik Queen S | 28 | 15 | 7 | 3 |
| Micah Peavy | 30 | 13 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Alvarado | 28 | 12 | 0 | 2 |
| Trey Alexander | 21 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Kevon Looney | 15 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Yves Missi S | 24 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Luka Doncic ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:14 Q1
"Luka Doncic makes 25-foot running pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Luka Doncic
LAL
21%
2
Deandre Ayton
LAL
14%
3
Jeremiah Fears
NO
12%
4
Derik Queen
NO
12%
5
Rui Hachimura
LAL
12%
6
Austin Reaves
LAL
11%
7
Saddiq Bey
NO
10%
8
Bryce McGowens
NO
8%
9
Yves Missi
NO
0%
10
Kevon Looney
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
50%
Jumper
12%
Layup
16%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luka Doncic | LAL | 31.2 | 7.0 | 10.1 |
| 2 | Austin Reaves | LAL | 26.6 | 5.8 | 6.0 |
| 3 | Deandre Ayton | LAL | 17.4 | 9.4 | 1.6 |
| 4 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 16.8 | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Derik Queen | NO | 16.2 | 7.1 | 4.9 |
| 6 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 14.8 | 6.7 | 2.8 |
| 7 | Rui Hachimura | LAL | 14.6 | 4.1 | 1.4 |
| 8 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 10.7 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| 9 | Marcus Smart | LAL | 10.5 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 10 | Jake LaRavia | LAL | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Gabe Vincent | LAL | 7.6 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 12 | Micah Peavy | NO | 6.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Jaxson Hayes | LAL | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 14 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.7 | 5.4 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Dalton Knecht | LAL | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 16 | Hunter Dickinson | NO | 5.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Nick Smith Jr. | LAL | 4.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Jarred Vanderbilt | LAL | 4.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| 21 | Kevon Looney | NO | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 22 | Trey Alexander | NO | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Maxi Kleber | LAL | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Adou Thiero | LAL | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.