NO @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
96–104
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 18 | 20 | 34 | 24 | 96 |
| GS | 17 | 25 | 31 | 31 | 104 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
GS
17%
83%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 31 | 25 | 7 | 4 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 38 | 21 | 7 | 3 |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 36 | 16 | 6 | 2 |
| Yves Missi | 20 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| Micah Peavy | 32 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| Jose Alvarado | 31 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Bryce McGowens S | 26 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Kevon Looney | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Derik Queen S | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Quinten Post ·
3PT (3 pts) · 10:43 Q1
"Quinten Post makes 24-foot three point jumper (Brandin Podziemski assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
20%
2
Derik Queen
NO
14%
3
Jeremiah Fears
NO
13%
4
Trey Murphy III
NO
10%
5
Jimmy Butler III
GS
10%
6
Saddiq Bey
NO
9%
7
Draymond Green
GS
9%
8
Will Richard
GS
8%
9
Moses Moody
GS
7%
10
Jose Alvarado
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
11%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
29%
Layup
36%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.0 | 6.5 | 4.7 |
| 2 | Jimmy Butler III | GS | 22.7 | 6.1 | 5.8 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 22.1 | 5.7 | 3.7 |
| 4 | Derik Queen | NO | 17.5 | 7.8 | 5.3 |
| 5 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 17.4 | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| 6 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 14.9 | 5.9 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 13.6 | 6.4 | 3.0 |
| 8 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 13.5 | 4.3 | 2.7 |
| 9 | Moses Moody | GS | 13.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Draymond Green | GS | 10.7 | 5.9 | 6.1 |
| 11 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 10.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| 12 | Will Richard | GS | 8.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Quinten Post | GS | 7.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| 14 | Buddy Hield | GS | 7.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 15 | Pat Spencer | GS | 6.1 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 16 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.6 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Micah Peavy | NO | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Gary Payton II | GS | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 20 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Gui Santos | GS | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Kevon Looney | NO | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.