NBA games

UTAH @ GS

NBA Chase Center ·Final
117–134
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH35202933117
GS26413928134

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home GS
36% 64%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 38 28 6 7
Ace Bailey S 29 21 3 2
Lauri Markkanen S 33 17 6 4
Brice Sensabaugh 19 16 1 1
Kyle Anderson 24 12 6 6
Kyle Filipowski 16 11 9 1
Jusuf Nurkic S 24 8 9 2
Isaiah Collier 21 2 3 3
Svi Mykhailiuk S 20 2 3 2
Walter Clayton Jr. 17 0 1 4
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Stephen Curry S 29 31 4 2
Buddy Hield 23 20 5 4
Jimmy Butler III S 29 18 6 7
Moses Moody S 29 15 6 0
Will Richard 22 9 6 1
Quinten Post S 28 9 4 5
Gary Payton II S 21 9 6 8
Gui Santos 9 9 0 2
Brandin Podziemski 18 6 5 3
Trayce Jackson-Davis 20 5 6 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Keyonte George · 3PT (3 pts) · 10:49 Q1
"Keyonte George makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jimmy Butler III GS
17%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
15%
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
11%
4 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
10%
5 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
9%
6 Gui Santos GS
8%
7 Will Richard GS
8%
8 Stephen Curry GS
8%
9 Ace Bailey UTAH
7%
10 Moses Moody GS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
14%
Layup
43%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Stephen Curry GS 27.8 3.8 4.9
2 Keyonte George UTAH 25.4 4.3 6.7
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 25.0 5.9 2.6
4 Jimmy Butler III GS 20.7 6.1 5.4
5 Brandin Podziemski GS 13.5 4.5 3.2
6 Moses Moody GS 13.0 3.7 2.3
7 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 11.9 3.0 2.3
8 Ace Bailey UTAH 11.8 3.9 2.1
9 Isaiah Collier UTAH 11.5 3.4 5.6
10 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 10.1 10.0 4.4
11 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 9.4 5.9 1.9
12 Will Richard GS 8.8 2.9 1.4
13 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 7.6 2.4 1.3
14 Buddy Hield GS 6.3 2.1 1.6
15 Quinten Post GS 6.1 3.7 1.2
16 Kevin Love UTAH 5.7 4.1 1.7
17 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 5.6 1.8 2.8
18 Kyle Anderson UTAH 4.9 2.1 3.2
19 Pat Spencer GS 4.9 1.8 2.4
20 Cody Williams UTAH 4.0 1.7 0.7
21 Gary Payton II GS 3.9 3.2 1.4
22 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 3.7 3.1 0.9
23 Gui Santos GS 2.5 1.7 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.