NBA games

NY @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
113–100
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY24273824113
BKN26222725100

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home BKN
87% 13%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Karl-Anthony Towns S 33 37 12 3
Jalen Brunson S 33 27 3 3
Mikal Bridges S 34 16 4 4
Jordan Clarkson 20 12 0 1
Miles McBride S 30 9 2 3
Josh Hart S 38 7 12 7
Guerschon Yabusele 12 3 0 2
Tyler Kolek 17 2 3 5
Ariel Hukporti 13 0 4 0
Mohamed Diawara 5 0 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Noah Clowney S 39 31 4 3
Michael Porter Jr. S 27 16 4 0
Drake Powell 24 15 2 4
Egor Demin S 28 9 6 2
Nic Claxton S 26 8 4 1
Jalen Wilson 23 6 2 1
Terance Mann S 19 6 6 2
Day'Ron Sharpe 22 5 8 1
Tyrese Martin 27 4 7 5
E.J. Liddell 3 0 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Karl-Anthony Towns · Layup (2 pts) · 11:17 Q1
"Karl-Anthony Towns makes 1-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
18%
2 Jalen Brunson NY
16%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
15%
4 Noah Clowney BKN
12%
5 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
11%
6 Mikal Bridges NY
11%
7 Terance Mann BKN
9%
8 Egor Demin BKN
7%
9 Miles McBride NY
0%
10 Josh Hart NY
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
32%
Layup
36%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 27.7 3.8 7.2
2 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 25.4 8.1 3.9
3 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 24.6 11.2 4.5
4 Nic Claxton BKN 17.3 8.6 5.1
5 Mikal Bridges NY 16.5 4.4 4.8
6 Noah Clowney BKN 15.7 3.9 2.0
7 Josh Hart NY 14.4 6.9 5.2
8 Jordan Clarkson NY 11.9 2.6 2.2
9 Tyrese Martin BKN 10.4 3.1 2.6
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 9.3 3.0 1.3
11 Egor Demin BKN 9.1 3.2 4.0
12 Miles McBride NY 8.9 2.7 1.9
13 Terance Mann BKN 8.8 3.0 4.2
14 Drake Powell BKN 6.7 2.3 1.9
15 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.4 5.2 1.8
16 Jalen Wilson BKN 5.3 1.4 0.8
17 Tosan Evbuomwan NY 5.2 2.3 1.4
18 Trey Jemison III NY 4.3 3.4 0.7
19 Guerschon Yabusele NY 3.8 2.0 0.7
20 Tyler Kolek NY 3.5 1.3 1.1
21 Pacome Dadiet NY 3.4 1.7 0.7
22 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.8 3.1 0.8
23 Mohamed Diawara NY 2.6 1.7 0.7
24 E.J. Liddell BKN 1.8 1.0 0.3
25 Tyson Etienne BKN 1.7 0.4 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.