NBA games

LAC @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
105–120
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
LAC24282726105
CLE27323328120

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home CLE
24% 76%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Ivica Zubac S 33 33 18 4
Kawhi Leonard S 26 20 3 2
James Harden S 32 19 2 6
Kris Dunn S 24 9 4 2
Nicolas Batum 25 6 3 1
John Collins S 30 5 3 0
Kobe Sanders 28 5 1 1
Cam Christie 4 3 0 1
Kobe Brown 4 3 0 1
Chris Paul 17 2 1 5
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donovan Mitchell S 33 37 8 6
Evan Mobley S 34 18 10 2
De'Andre Hunter S 29 17 4 4
Tyrese Proctor 17 11 3 3
Darius Garland S 29 8 1 8
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 22 8 2 1
Jaylon Tyson S 23 7 4 0
Dean Wade 23 5 5 3
Thomas Bryant 3 3 1 0
Larry Nance Jr. 13 3 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Ivica Zubac · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:23 Q1
"Ivica Zubac makes 8-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Ivica Zubac LAC
12%
2 Donovan Mitchell CLE
11%
3 Evan Mobley CLE
10%
4 De'Andre Hunter CLE
10%
5 Darius Garland CLE
10%
6 Kawhi Leonard LAC
10%
7 Jaylon Tyson CLE
8%
8 James Harden LAC
7%
9 John Collins LAC
7%
10 Kris Dunn LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
16%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
33%
Layup
34%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 29.2 6.1 6.4
2 James Harden LAC 28.3 6.3 8.2
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC 21.8 3.9 3.2
4 Evan Mobley CLE 20.6 8.7 4.0
5 De'Andre Hunter CLE 18.8 4.7 3.2
6 Ivica Zubac LAC 18.5 11.8 2.4
7 Darius Garland CLE 17.1 3.2 5.8
8 John Collins LAC 12.4 4.8 1.3
9 Jaylon Tyson CLE 12.0 4.6 2.2
10 Kris Dunn LAC 8.8 3.0 3.4
11 Kobe Sanders LAC 8.6 2.4 1.4
12 Brook Lopez LAC 6.6 2.2 1.0
13 Dean Wade CLE 6.2 3.9 1.5
14 Nicolas Batum LAC 6.0 3.2 1.1
15 Nae'Qwan Tomlin CLE 5.8 2.9 0.8
16 Cam Christie LAC 5.3 2.5 0.9
17 Tyrese Proctor CLE 4.9 1.4 1.3
18 Chris Paul LAC 4.7 2.2 3.5
19 Yanic Konan Niederhauser LAC 4.4 3.1 0.9
20 Larry Nance Jr. CLE 4.4 2.7 1.3
21 Kobe Brown LAC 3.9 2.6 1.0
22 Thomas Bryant CLE 2.8 2.2 0.5
23 Jahmyl Telfort LAC 2.6 1.3 0.5
24 Luke Travers CLE 2.4 1.7 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.