SAC @ DEN
NBA
Ball Arena
·Final
128–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 30 | 31 | 30 | 37 | 128 |
| DEN | 35 | 30 | 27 | 31 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DEN) / 10 (SAC) games this season
SAC
away
home
DEN
20%
80%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder | 18 | 21 | 3 | 7 |
| Russell Westbrook S | 30 | 21 | 6 | 11 |
| Keegan Murray S | 37 | 19 | 5 | 1 |
| DeMar DeRozan S | 31 | 17 | 7 | 5 |
| Zach LaVine S | 36 | 15 | 2 | 3 |
| Malik Monk | 26 | 12 | 2 | 2 |
| Drew Eubanks S | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| Precious Achiuwa | 24 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Nique Clifford | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Cameron Johnson ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"Cameron Johnson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jamal Murray assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jamal Murray
DEN
16%
2
Nikola Jokic
DEN
12%
3
DeMar DeRozan
SAC
11%
4
Russell Westbrook
SAC
10%
5
Zach LaVine
SAC
9%
6
Precious Achiuwa
SAC
9%
7
Drew Eubanks
SAC
9%
8
Cameron Johnson
DEN
8%
9
Peyton Watson
DEN
8%
10
Zeke Nnaji
DEN
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
20%
Layup
36%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikola Jokic | DEN | 35.7 | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| 2 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 23.9 | 5.0 | 7.2 |
| 3 | Zach LaVine | SAC | 19.0 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| 4 | Russell Westbrook | SAC | 17.8 | 7.8 | 7.1 |
| 5 | DeMar DeRozan | SAC | 16.1 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| 6 | Dennis Schroder | SAC | 12.1 | 3.7 | 5.0 |
| 7 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DEN | 11.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 8 | Malik Monk | SAC | 11.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 9 | Peyton Watson | DEN | 10.9 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Cameron Johnson | DEN | 10.7 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 11 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 9.6 | 4.2 | 1.0 |
| 12 | Bruce Brown | DEN | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Drew Eubanks | SAC | 8.1 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| 14 | Jonas Valanciunas | DEN | 8.0 | 4.6 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Precious Achiuwa | SAC | 5.9 | 4.6 | 1.0 |
| 16 | Nique Clifford | SAC | 5.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 17 | Keon Ellis | SAC | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Maxime Raynaud | SAC | 5.5 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Dario Saric | SAC | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 20 | Spencer Jones | DEN | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Jalen Pickett | DEN | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 23 | DaRon Holmes II | DEN | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Hunter Tyson | DEN | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Devin Carter | SAC | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.