NBA games

CHI @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
147–150
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q6T
CHI33372829911147
UTAH33283333914150

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI away
home UTAH
55% 45%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Coby White 30 27 4 8
Josh Giddey S 42 26 13 13
Nikola Vucevic S 41 21 12 2
Ayo Dosunmu 26 18 1 5
Matas Buzelis S 33 18 6 1
Julian Phillips 13 10 1 0
Jalen Smith 17 8 8 3
Patrick Williams 14 8 1 1
Kevin Huerter S 33 6 8 2
Isaac Okoro S 40 5 6 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 46 47 7 2
Keyonte George S 44 33 2 6
Isaiah Collier 37 16 4 9
Brice Sensabaugh 28 16 6 1
Svi Mykhailiuk S 29 10 0 3
Kevin Love 18 10 8 2
Kyle Filipowski 21 8 9 1
Jusuf Nurkic S 38 5 14 5
Ace Bailey S 10 5 1 0
Cody Williams 19 0 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Lauri Markkanen · Layup (2 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Lauri Markkanen makes 4-foot layup (Jusuf Nurkic assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
17%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
11%
3 Nikola Vucevic CHI
10%
4 Matas Buzelis CHI
10%
5 Josh Giddey CHI
10%
6 Kevin Huerter CHI
10%
7 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
10%
8 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
8%
9 Isaac Okoro CHI
7%
10 Ace Bailey UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
52%
Jumper
5%
Layup
27%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 28.6 6.1 2.7
2 Josh Giddey CHI 24.5 9.4 9.9
3 Keyonte George UTAH 24.5 4.6 6.9
4 Nikola Vucevic CHI 17.8 9.3 4.1
5 Kevin Huerter CHI 16.4 4.3 3.8
6 Matas Buzelis CHI 15.7 5.7 1.7
7 Ayo Dosunmu CHI 15.5 3.1 3.1
8 Isaiah Collier UTAH 11.7 3.6 6.5
9 Ace Bailey UTAH 10.3 3.7 2.1
10 Isaac Okoro CHI 10.1 3.0 1.6
11 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 10.1 3.0 2.1
12 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 9.7 9.4 4.1
13 Patrick Williams CHI 8.8 2.9 1.8
14 Jalen Smith CHI 8.7 5.4 1.2
15 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 8.2 2.6 1.4
16 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 7.6 5.1 2.0
17 Jevon Carter CHI 7.4 1.5 1.6
18 Kevin Love UTAH 5.8 3.2 2.1
19 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 5.5 1.9 2.8
20 Cody Williams UTAH 5.4 1.9 1.0
21 Noa Essengue CHI 4.7 1.8 1.1
22 Elijah Harkless UTAH 3.1 1.0 0.6
23 Dalen Terry CHI 3.0 1.6 1.1
24 Julian Phillips CHI 2.1 1.1 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.