NBA games

MIN @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
120–113
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
MIN26274027120
UTAH30252533113

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (MIN) games this season
MIN away
home UTAH
55% 45%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Anthony Edwards S 38 35 6 6
Julius Randle S 34 27 8 7
Jaden McDaniels S 35 16 6 3
Rudy Gobert S 34 14 12 1
Donte DiVincenzo S 37 14 1 2
Naz Reid 28 7 5 3
Mike Conley 18 5 2 2
Jaylen Clark 13 2 1 0
Rob Dillingham 4 0 1 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 36 27 6 6
Lauri Markkanen S 35 21 8 3
Svi Mykhailiuk S 28 11 3 2
Ace Bailey S 28 10 7 2
Kevin Love 17 10 3 1
Brice Sensabaugh 11 10 4 1
Kyle Filipowski 26 7 3 3
Walter Clayton Jr. 18 6 3 2
Jusuf Nurkic S 25 6 10 3
Isaiah Collier 16 5 3 7

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Lauri Markkanen · Layup (2 pts) · 11:23 Q1
"Lauri Markkanen makes two point shot (Keyonte George assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
16%
2 Anthony Edwards MIN
12%
3 Julius Randle MIN
12%
4 Jaden McDaniels MIN
12%
5 Keyonte George UTAH
11%
6 Rudy Gobert MIN
10%
7 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
10%
8 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
8%
9 Donte DiVincenzo MIN
8%
10 Naz Reid MIN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
14%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
34%
Jumper
14%
Layup
35%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Julius Randle MIN 26.9 7.0 6.9
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 25.0 5.8 2.9
3 Anthony Edwards MIN 24.4 4.5 3.6
4 Keyonte George UTAH 24.1 4.0 6.9
5 Jaden McDaniels MIN 19.2 4.9 2.6
6 Donte DiVincenzo MIN 14.7 3.9 4.0
7 Naz Reid MIN 11.9 5.0 2.0
8 Rudy Gobert MIN 11.8 10.4 1.7
9 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 9.9 2.8 1.9
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 9.5 2.5 1.4
11 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 8.1 7.6 2.8
12 Rob Dillingham MIN 7.6 1.6 3.6
13 Mike Conley MIN 7.5 2.5 3.9
14 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 6.9 4.2 1.8
15 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 6.6 2.3 3.3
16 Johnny Juzang MIN 6.4 2.4 0.8
17 Jaylen Clark MIN 6.2 2.4 1.3
18 Ace Bailey UTAH 5.8 2.7 1.5
19 Leonard Miller MIN 5.5 2.7 1.1
20 Cody Williams UTAH 5.2 1.7 0.7
21 Kevin Love UTAH 4.9 3.1 1.7
22 Bones Hyland MIN 4.8 1.5 1.5
23 Joan Beringer MIN 4.5 3.3 0.6
24 Elijah Harkless UTAH 4.0 1.1 0.7
25 Joe Ingles MIN 2.7 0.7 1.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.