BOS @ ORL
NBA
Kia Center
·Final
111–107
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 30 | 24 | 24 | 33 | 111 |
| ORL | 33 | 21 | 26 | 27 | 107 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ORL) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS
away
home
ORL
47%
53%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown S | 34 | 27 | 5 | 1 |
| Anfernee Simons | 23 | 25 | 1 | 3 |
| Derrick White S | 36 | 21 | 3 | 4 |
| Luka Garza | 17 | 16 | 8 | 3 |
| Neemias Queta S | 26 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| Jordan Walsh | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Payton Pritchard S | 33 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Sam Hauser | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Josh Minott S | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jalen Suggs ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Jalen Suggs makes free throw 1 of 3"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jaylen Brown
BOS
15%
2
Desmond Bane
ORL
12%
3
Neemias Queta
BOS
11%
4
Franz Wagner
ORL
11%
5
Payton Pritchard
BOS
10%
6
Paolo Banchero
ORL
10%
7
Derrick White
BOS
9%
8
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL
8%
9
Jalen Suggs
ORL
8%
10
Josh Minott
BOS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
6%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
55%
Jumper
26%
Layup
11%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaylen Brown | BOS | 28.5 | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| 2 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 23.5 | 9.6 | 4.5 |
| 3 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 23.4 | 5.2 | 4.0 |
| 4 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 17.6 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| 5 | Desmond Bane | ORL | 16.1 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| 6 | Derrick White | BOS | 15.3 | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| 7 | Anfernee Simons | BOS | 13.6 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 8 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 12.8 | 7.5 | 2.0 |
| 9 | Anthony Black | ORL | 12.8 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| 10 | Jalen Suggs | ORL | 11.1 | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| 11 | Tristan da Silva | ORL | 10.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Josh Minott | BOS | 9.8 | 5.9 | 1.5 |
| 13 | Neemias Queta | BOS | 9.6 | 8.1 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 8.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 15 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 5.9 | 5.4 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Luka Garza | BOS | 5.3 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Hugo Gonzalez | BOS | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Chris Boucher | BOS | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| 19 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 4.1 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| 20 | Tyus Jones | ORL | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| 21 | Jordan Walsh | BOS | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Jett Howard | ORL | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Jase Richardson | ORL | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 24 | Noah Penda | ORL | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Xavier Tillman | BOS | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.