NBA games

BKN @ NY

NBA Madison Square Garden ·Final
98–134
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN2240171998
NY40373522134

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home NY
11% 89%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Michael Porter Jr. S 26 25 4 0
Drake Powell 23 15 2 3
Ziaire Williams 28 13 3 1
Nic Claxton S 22 12 5 5
Day'Ron Sharpe 12 10 6 1
Egor Demin S 25 10 4 3
Tyrese Martin 25 5 8 2
Noah Clowney S 22 4 1 2
E.J. Liddell 8 4 1 0
Jalen Wilson 20 0 3 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Karl-Anthony Towns S 28 28 12 2
Jalen Brunson S 29 19 0 7
OG Anunoby S 27 19 8 3
Mikal Bridges S 28 16 1 5
Jordan Clarkson 18 11 2 3
Josh Hart 21 11 7 2
Mitchell Robinson S 17 8 8 0
Landry Shamet 21 8 1 3
Mohamed Diawara 5 5 0 0
Guerschon Yabusele 10 5 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Karl-Anthony Towns · Jumper (2 pts) · 10:58 Q1
"Karl-Anthony Towns makes 5-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Nic Claxton BKN
13%
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
13%
3 Jalen Brunson NY
12%
4 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
12%
5 Mikal Bridges NY
10%
6 OG Anunoby NY
9%
7 Mitchell Robinson NY
8%
8 Terance Mann BKN
8%
9 Egor Demin BKN
7%
10 Noah Clowney BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
32%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
22%
Layup
36%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 26.9 4.4 6.6
2 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 23.0 7.5 3.3
3 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 20.6 11.3 3.5
4 Mikal Bridges NY 17.5 5.0 5.1
5 OG Anunoby NY 16.5 5.5 2.8
6 Nic Claxton BKN 15.5 7.7 3.7
7 Terance Mann BKN 11.1 3.2 3.0
8 Miles McBride NY 9.8 2.9 2.7
9 Ziaire Williams BKN 9.2 2.7 1.0
10 Noah Clowney BKN 9.1 3.4 1.6
11 Jordan Clarkson NY 9.0 2.0 1.6
12 Josh Hart NY 8.3 6.0 3.3
13 Tyrese Martin BKN 7.2 3.1 2.1
14 Egor Demin BKN 7.1 3.0 2.8
15 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.6 4.8 2.0
16 Landry Shamet NY 6.6 2.1 1.0
17 Jalen Wilson BKN 6.2 1.4 1.0
18 Mitchell Robinson NY 5.2 8.9 0.8
19 Drake Powell BKN 4.5 1.7 1.2
20 Tyler Kolek NY 4.3 1.3 1.7
21 Guerschon Yabusele NY 4.0 2.8 0.8
22 Pacome Dadiet NY 3.3 1.6 0.7
23 Ariel Hukporti NY 3.1 3.6 0.8
24 E.J. Liddell BKN 2.9 1.8 0.5
25 Mohamed Diawara NY 2.8 1.8 0.7
26 Tyson Etienne BKN 2.6 1.0 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.