NO @ SA
NBA
Frost Bank Center
·Final
119–126
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 22 | 36 | 27 | 34 | 119 |
| SA | 28 | 38 | 26 | 34 | 126 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SA) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
SA
13%
87%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III S | 38 | 41 | 9 | 3 |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 31 | 18 | 3 | 3 |
| Herbert Jones S | 38 | 15 | 3 | 4 |
| Derik Queen | 25 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 30 | 10 | 2 | 4 |
| Jose Alvarado | 17 | 8 | 2 | 5 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevon Looney S | 17 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Micah Peavy | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Devin Vassell ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:37 Q1
"Devin Vassell makes 26-foot three point jumper (Stephon Castle assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Stephon Castle
SA
13%
2
Victor Wembanyama
SA
12%
3
Devin Vassell
SA
12%
4
Jeremiah Fears
NO
11%
5
Trey Murphy III
NO
9%
6
Saddiq Bey
NO
9%
7
Kevon Looney
NO
9%
8
Herbert Jones
NO
9%
9
Harrison Barnes
SA
8%
10
Julian Champagnie
SA
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
25%
Jumper
26%
Layup
23%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Wembanyama | SA | 27.9 | 12.3 | 4.0 |
| 2 | Stephon Castle | SA | 21.2 | 5.6 | 7.9 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 15.4 | 5.7 | 3.3 |
| 4 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 15.2 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 5 | Devin Vassell | SA | 14.5 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| 6 | Keldon Johnson | SA | 12.5 | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| 7 | Harrison Barnes | SA | 12.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| 8 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 11.7 | 5.3 | 1.8 |
| 9 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 11.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.2 | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| 11 | Derik Queen | NO | 7.4 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 13 | Lindy Waters III | SA | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 5.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| 15 | Carter Bryant | SA | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Micah Peavy | NO | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 17 | David Jones Garcia | SA | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Jordan McLaughlin | SA | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Kevon Looney | NO | 4.0 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 21 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 22 | Bismack Biyombo | SA | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.