NO @ DAL
NBA
American Airlines Center
·Final
101–99
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 29 | 23 | 26 | 23 | 101 |
| DAL | 19 | 30 | 28 | 22 | 99 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DAL) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
DAL
16%
84%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey S | 30 | 22 | 9 | 1 |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 25 | 13 | 5 | 3 |
| Jose Alvarado | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 |
| Herbert Jones S | 35 | 12 | 5 | 2 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 38 | 11 | 9 | 5 |
| Derik Queen | 26 | 11 | 7 | 2 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Kevon Looney S | 15 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Micah Peavy | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Saddiq Bey ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 10:44 Q1
"Saddiq Bey makes 11-foot step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
P.J. Washington
DAL
16%
2
Jeremiah Fears
NO
14%
3
Klay Thompson
DAL
13%
4
Cooper Flagg
DAL
13%
5
Trey Murphy III
NO
12%
6
Kevon Looney
NO
11%
7
Herbert Jones
NO
10%
8
Max Christie
DAL
10%
9
Saddiq Bey
NO
0%
10
Karlo Matkovic
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
23%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
5%
Jumper
27%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P.J. Washington | DAL | 17.0 | 7.4 | 3.6 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 16.1 | 5.4 | 2.8 |
| 3 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 15.3 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| 4 | Cooper Flagg | DAL | 14.8 | 5.8 | 3.3 |
| 5 | D'Angelo Russell | DAL | 12.1 | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| 6 | Max Christie | DAL | 11.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 7 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Naji Marshall | DAL | 9.4 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 10 | Klay Thompson | DAL | 8.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Derik Queen | NO | 7.8 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 12 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 6.7 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 13 | Brandon Williams | DAL | 6.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 6.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 5.4 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 4.7 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 18 | Micah Peavy | NO | 4.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Kevon Looney | NO | 4.3 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 20 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Caleb Martin | DAL | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Moussa Cisse | DAL | 3.1 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.