MIN @ NY
NBA
Madison Square Garden
·Final
114–137
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 26 | 32 | 28 | 28 | 114 |
| NY | 28 | 26 | 40 | 43 | 137 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (MIN) games this season
MIN
away
home
NY
51%
49%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle S | 38 | 32 | 5 | 4 |
| Donte DiVincenzo S | 36 | 21 | 3 | 4 |
| Anthony Edwards S | 29 | 15 | 2 | 5 |
| Jaden McDaniels S | 32 | 13 | 4 | 3 |
| Mike Conley | 18 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| Rudy Gobert S | 28 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| Rob Dillingham | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| Naz Reid | 21 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Jaylen Clark | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Leonard Miller | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Karl-Anthony Towns ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Karl-Anthony Towns makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jalen Brunson
NY
14%
2
Anthony Edwards
MIN
10%
3
Karl-Anthony Towns
NY
9%
4
Julius Randle
MIN
9%
5
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
9%
6
Mikal Bridges
NY
9%
7
Rudy Gobert
MIN
8%
8
Mitchell Robinson
NY
7%
9
OG Anunoby
NY
7%
10
Landry Shamet
NY
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
45%
Layup
21%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Brunson | NY | 25.6 | 4.1 | 5.5 |
| 2 | Julius Randle | MIN | 24.4 | 6.6 | 5.2 |
| 3 | Anthony Edwards | MIN | 21.0 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| 4 | Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 19.0 | 10.1 | 3.0 |
| 5 | Mikal Bridges | NY | 16.9 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| 6 | OG Anunoby | NY | 16.2 | 5.3 | 2.7 |
| 7 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 15.3 | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | 12.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| 9 | Naz Reid | MIN | 10.9 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 10.7 | 9.0 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Miles McBride | NY | 9.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 12 | Rob Dillingham | MIN | 9.0 | 1.9 | 4.0 |
| 13 | Jordan Clarkson | NY | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 14 | Josh Hart | NY | 7.2 | 5.5 | 3.0 |
| 15 | Mike Conley | MIN | 6.8 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 16 | Terrence Shannon Jr. | MIN | 6.7 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 17 | Landry Shamet | NY | 6.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Leonard Miller | MIN | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Johnny Juzang | MIN | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 20 | Jaylen Clark | MIN | 5.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Tyler Kolek | NY | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Bones Hyland | MIN | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| 23 | Joan Beringer | MIN | 4.8 | 3.7 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Guerschon Yabusele | NY | 4.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Mitchell Robinson | NY | 3.9 | 7.9 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Pacome Dadiet | NY | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 27 | Ariel Hukporti | NY | 3.4 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| 28 | Mohamed Diawara | NY | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.