MIN @ BKN
NBA
Barclays Center
·Final
125–109
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 28 | 35 | 28 | 34 | 125 |
| BKN | 28 | 31 | 29 | 21 | 109 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (MIN) games this season
MIN
away
home
BKN
69%
31%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte DiVincenzo S | 30 | 25 | 9 | 5 |
| Jaden McDaniels S | 29 | 22 | 3 | 3 |
| Naz Reid | 24 | 21 | 3 | 2 |
| Julius Randle S | 34 | 19 | 11 | 10 |
| Rudy Gobert S | 34 | 15 | 12 | 1 |
| Mike Conley S | 24 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| Rob Dillingham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaylen Clark | 20 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Leonard Miller | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Cam Thomas ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:21 Q1
"Cam Thomas makes tip shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Cam Thomas
BKN
12%
2
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
12%
3
Julius Randle
MIN
12%
4
Nic Claxton
BKN
12%
5
Rudy Gobert
MIN
11%
6
Terance Mann
BKN
9%
7
Ben Saraf
BKN
8%
8
Tyrese Martin
BKN
8%
9
Mike Conley
MIN
8%
10
Donte DiVincenzo
MIN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
27%
Layup
28%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julius Randle | MIN | 25.5 | 6.3 | 4.9 |
| 2 | Cam Thomas | BKN | 21.1 | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| 3 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 15.6 | 4.6 | 2.0 |
| 4 | Nic Claxton | BKN | 13.0 | 7.5 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | 11.1 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| 6 | Naz Reid | MIN | 11.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 10.9 | 8.3 | 1.9 |
| 8 | Terance Mann | BKN | 10.3 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 9 | Rob Dillingham | MIN | 9.8 | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 10 | Ziaire Williams | BKN | 9.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 11 | Egor Demin | BKN | 8.2 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 12 | Johnny Juzang | MIN | 7.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| 13 | Terrence Shannon Jr. | MIN | 7.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| 14 | Danny Wolf | BKN | 7.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 15 | Mike Conley | MIN | 7.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| 16 | Day'Ron Sharpe | BKN | 7.1 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Leonard Miller | MIN | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Noah Clowney | BKN | 6.7 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Tyrese Martin | BKN | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| 20 | Jalen Wilson | BKN | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Ben Saraf | BKN | 5.7 | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 22 | Joan Beringer | MIN | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Bones Hyland | MIN | 5.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| 24 | Jaylen Clark | MIN | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 25 | Nolan Traore | BKN | 3.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 26 | E.J. Liddell | BKN | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.