NBA games

PHI @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
129–105
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI40331739129
BKN37182327105

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 9 (BKN) / 9 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home BKN
57% 43%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 33 29 3 0
Tyrese Maxey S 39 26 6 7
Quentin Grimes 32 22 6 13
Trendon Watford 25 16 9 7
VJ Edgecombe S 33 16 2 3
Andre Drummond 23 5 8 0
Johni Broome 5 4 2 1
Kyle Lowry 3 3 0 1
Jabari Walker S 18 2 4 0
Adem Bona S 14 2 3 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 35 29 1 1
Nic Claxton S 34 19 7 5
Michael Porter Jr. S 31 17 17 2
Terance Mann S 34 17 5 4
Ziaire Williams 20 13 5 0
Egor Demin 15 5 0 2
Jalen Wilson 14 2 0 0
Drake Powell 4 2 0 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 10 1 2 0
Tyrese Martin S 27 0 2 4

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Tyrese Maxey · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Tyrese Maxey makes 25-foot three pointer"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
28%
2 VJ Edgecombe PHI
12%
3 Cam Thomas BKN
11%
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
10%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
6 Jabari Walker PHI
8%
7 Terance Mann BKN
7%
8 Ben Saraf BKN
7%
9 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
7%
10 Quentin Grimes PHI
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
29%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
27%
Jumper
21%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 28.8 4.4 7.1
2 VJ Edgecombe PHI 22.7 5.0 5.2
3 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 21.4 6.3 3.3
4 Quentin Grimes PHI 21.3 4.2 4.7
5 Cam Thomas BKN 20.9 3.2 4.0
6 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 14.9 5.8 2.2
7 Nic Claxton BKN 12.7 7.8 2.7
8 Terance Mann BKN 9.8 3.2 1.7
9 Egor Demin BKN 8.8 3.7 2.3
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 8.6 2.2 0.9
11 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.9 5.7 2.0
12 Noah Clowney BKN 6.8 3.1 1.3
13 Ben Saraf BKN 6.3 2.0 3.9
14 Tyrese Martin BKN 6.0 2.8 1.7
15 Jalen Wilson BKN 6.0 1.5 1.0
16 Jabari Walker PHI 5.9 3.3 0.8
17 Andre Drummond PHI 5.7 5.5 0.8
18 Justin Edwards PHI 5.3 2.7 1.6
19 Hunter Sallis PHI 4.7 1.7 1.0
20 Nolan Traore BKN 4.6 1.0 1.7
21 Adem Bona PHI 4.5 3.8 0.6
22 Johni Broome PHI 4.5 2.7 0.5
23 Eric Gordon PHI 3.4 0.8 0.5
24 Drake Powell BKN 2.8 1.0 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.