NO @ OKC
NBA
Paycom Center
·Final
106–137
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 22 | 30 | 30 | 24 | 106 |
| OKC | 39 | 36 | 33 | 29 | 137 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (OKC) / 9 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
OKC
17%
83%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 28 | 20 | 9 | 6 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 32 | 19 | 5 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 26 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| Herbert Jones S | 24 | 12 | 1 | 3 |
| Jordan Poole | 24 | 11 | 1 | 3 |
| Yves Missi S | 22 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Derik Queen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Kevon Looney | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Micah Peavy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jeremiah Fears ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:31 Q1
"Jeremiah Fears makes 23-foot three point jumper (Zion Williamson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
16%
2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
14%
3
Trey Murphy III
NO
11%
4
Isaiah Hartenstein
OKC
10%
5
Cason Wallace
OKC
10%
6
Jeremiah Fears
NO
10%
7
Aaron Wiggins
OKC
9%
8
Herbert Jones
NO
9%
9
Yves Missi
NO
9%
10
Jordan Poole
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
30%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
26%
Layup
29%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 29.1 | 5.3 | 6.4 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 20.3 | 6.7 | 5.0 |
| 3 | Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 19.5 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| 4 | Jordan Poole | NO | 17.9 | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| 5 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 14.5 | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| 6 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 14.3 | 5.7 | 2.8 |
| 7 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 13.0 | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| 8 | Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 12.1 | 9.2 | 2.8 |
| 9 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 10.4 | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| 10 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Herbert Jones | NO | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| 12 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 13 | Yves Missi | NO | 8.4 | 7.4 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Ousmane Dieng | OKC | 7.9 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| 15 | Derik Queen | NO | 7.6 | 5.6 | 0.8 |
| 16 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 7.5 | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| 17 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 7.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Chris Youngblood | OKC | 7.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Alex Caruso | OKC | 6.7 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 20 | Brooks Barnhizer | OKC | 5.5 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Branden Carlson | OKC | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 23 | Micah Peavy | NO | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.