NY @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
111–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 26 | 45 | 20 | 20 | 111 |
| MIL | 27 | 32 | 35 | 27 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 7 (MIL) / 8 (NY) games this season
NY
away
home
MIL
31%
69%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson S | 35 | 36 | 4 | 3 |
| Mikal Bridges S | 39 | 24 | 11 | 6 |
| Landry Shamet S | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 |
| Jordan Clarkson | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| OG Anunoby S | 34 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns S | 35 | 8 | 12 | 1 |
| Tyler Kolek | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Josh Hart | 26 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Mohamed Diawara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ariel Hukporti | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Mikal Bridges ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:37 Q1
"Mikal Bridges makes 23-foot three point jumper (OG Anunoby assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
13%
2
Jalen Brunson
NY
11%
3
Karl-Anthony Towns
NY
11%
4
Mikal Bridges
NY
10%
5
Gary Trent Jr.
MIL
8%
6
AJ Green
MIL
7%
7
Myles Turner
MIL
7%
8
OG Anunoby
NY
7%
9
Mohamed Diawara
NY
7%
10
Ariel Hukporti
NY
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
31%
Jumper
10%
Layup
50%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 28.6 | 11.9 | 6.1 |
| 2 | Jalen Brunson | NY | 23.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| 3 | Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 15.6 | 10.2 | 2.3 |
| 4 | Mikal Bridges | NY | 15.3 | 5.0 | 2.9 |
| 5 | OG Anunoby | NY | 13.9 | 5.8 | 2.0 |
| 6 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 12.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 7 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 10.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 8 | Cole Anthony | MIL | 10.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Myles Turner | MIL | 10.1 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| 10 | AJ Green | MIL | 9.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Jordan Clarkson | NY | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 7.8 | 5.0 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 6.7 | 4.8 | 1.0 |
| 14 | Tyler Kolek | NY | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Josh Hart | NY | 5.7 | 6.5 | 2.6 |
| 16 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 5.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Landry Shamet | NY | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Ariel Hukporti | NY | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Tosan Evbuomwan | NY | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Pacome Dadiet | NY | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Trey Jemison III | NY | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Amir Coffey | MIL | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Jericho Sims | MIL | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Mohamed Diawara | NY | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Gary Harris | MIL | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 27 | Thanasis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.