MIL @ TOR
NBA
Scotiabank Arena
·Final
122–116
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 27 | 25 | 34 | 36 | 122 |
| TOR | 19 | 35 | 32 | 30 | 116 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 7 (TOR) / 5 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
TOR
33%
67%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo S | 38 | 31 | 20 | 7 |
| Cole Anthony | 27 | 23 | 4 | 7 |
| Gary Trent Jr. S | 29 | 20 | 2 | 4 |
| Ryan Rollins S | 30 | 13 | 5 | 2 |
| Bobby Portis | 21 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| AJ Green S | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Myles Turner S | 28 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Taurean Prince | 21 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Amir Coffey | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Brandon Ingram ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 10:58 Q1
"Brandon Ingram makes 8-foot two point shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Scottie Barnes
TOR
16%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
15%
3
RJ Barrett
TOR
13%
4
Brandon Ingram
TOR
13%
5
Jakob Poeltl
TOR
11%
6
Immanuel Quickley
TOR
8%
7
Myles Turner
MIL
8%
8
Gary Trent Jr.
MIL
8%
9
AJ Green
MIL
7%
10
Ryan Rollins
MIL
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
34%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
20%
Layup
34%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 25.1 | 12.6 | 4.4 |
| 2 | RJ Barrett | TOR | 20.9 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | TOR | 19.9 | 6.4 | 3.6 |
| 4 | Scottie Barnes | TOR | 16.8 | 8.8 | 5.2 |
| 5 | Immanuel Quickley | TOR | 15.0 | 3.5 | 5.7 |
| 6 | Gradey Dick | TOR | 12.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| 7 | Jakob Poeltl | TOR | 10.6 | 8.8 | 1.6 |
| 8 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 10.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
| 10 | AJ Green | MIL | 9.9 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Myles Turner | MIL | 9.5 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 9.5 | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Cole Anthony | MIL | 9.3 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| 14 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | TOR | 9.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 |
| 15 | Jamal Shead | TOR | 7.3 | 2.0 | 4.5 |
| 16 | Ochai Agbaji | TOR | 6.7 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Ja'Kobe Walter | TOR | 6.4 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 18 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 6.0 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Jamison Battle | TOR | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Jonathan Mogbo | TOR | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Amir Coffey | MIL | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Gary Harris | MIL | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 24 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Jericho Sims | MIL | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 26 | Thanasis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Mark Sears | MIL | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.