NBA games

BOS @ NY

NBA Madison Square Garden ·Final
95–105
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BOS3014213095
NY22421823105

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 6 (NY) / 5 (BOS) games this season
BOS away
home NY
55% 45%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jaylen Brown S 35 23 4 3
Sam Hauser S 28 18 3 0
Derrick White S 33 15 4 4
Anfernee Simons 27 10 1 4
Payton Pritchard S 36 8 5 6
Neemias Queta S 22 8 7 1
Xavier Tillman 14 7 3 0
Hugo Gonzalez 23 6 4 1
Amari Williams 1 0 1 0
Jordan Walsh 2 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 35 31 3 5
Karl-Anthony Towns S 33 26 13 3
Mikal Bridges S 36 12 6 2
OG Anunoby S 29 10 2 1
Miles McBride S 32 10 4 4
Jordan Clarkson 16 6 3 0
Landry Shamet 14 3 3 0
Guerschon Yabusele 13 3 5 1
Josh Hart 19 2 14 3
Tyler Kolek 13 2 0 4

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Sam Hauser · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Sam Hauser makes 25-foot three point jumper (Payton Pritchard assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Derrick White BOS
12%
2 Jaylen Brown BOS
11%
3 Jalen Brunson NY
10%
4 Payton Pritchard BOS
10%
5 Mikal Bridges NY
9%
6 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
8%
7 Ariel Hukporti NY
7%
8 Neemias Queta BOS
7%
9 Mohamed Diawara NY
7%
10 OG Anunoby NY
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
28%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
12%
Layup
46%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Derrick White BOS 22.9 6.1 5.9
2 Jalen Brunson NY 20.1 3.9 4.4
3 Payton Pritchard BOS 16.8 4.3 4.1
4 Anfernee Simons BOS 16.0 3.6 2.2
5 Jaylen Brown BOS 15.6 3.9 2.7
6 OG Anunoby NY 15.2 7.3 2.2
7 Mikal Bridges NY 13.6 4.8 2.6
8 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 11.8 7.6 1.7
9 Miles McBride NY 11.1 3.1 2.3
10 Josh Minott BOS 9.2 4.8 1.2
11 Jordan Clarkson NY 8.6 2.1 1.6
12 Sam Hauser BOS 8.4 1.9 1.3
13 Neemias Queta BOS 8.3 7.3 0.8
14 Chris Boucher BOS 7.9 5.3 0.8
15 Tyler Kolek NY 7.1 2.0 1.9
16 Landry Shamet NY 5.5 1.4 0.9
17 Guerschon Yabusele NY 5.0 2.8 1.0
18 Baylor Scheierman BOS 4.9 3.0 2.2
19 Xavier Tillman BOS 4.7 4.3 1.4
20 Ariel Hukporti NY 4.6 4.5 0.9
21 Hugo Gonzalez BOS 4.1 2.5 0.6
22 Pacome Dadiet NY 3.6 2.0 0.6
23 Mohamed Diawara NY 2.6 2.3 0.5
24 Amari Williams BOS 1.4 1.6 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.