NBA games

LAC @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
108–129
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
LAC19283328108
UTAH43353021129

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 4 (UTAH) / 4 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home UTAH
25% 75%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Ivica Zubac S 27 19 7 3
Brook Lopez 17 15 3 0
James Harden S 29 15 2 11
John Collins 28 14 7 1
Derrick Jones Jr. S 18 12 1 1
Kawhi Leonard S 29 10 4 2
Bradley Beal S 20 5 1 0
Cam Christie 8 5 2 1
Chris Paul 15 4 1 4
Yanic Konan Niederhauser 4 4 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Walker Kessler S 29 22 9 4
Lauri Markkanen S 33 20 6 5
Brice Sensabaugh 23 20 4 2
Keyonte George S 30 16 2 9
Taylor Hendricks 19 13 6 0
Walter Clayton Jr. 18 10 6 5
Kyle Filipowski S 25 9 4 5
Svi Mykhailiuk S 24 9 1 3
Jusuf Nurkic 17 8 4 3
Ace Bailey 20 2 4 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Lauri Markkanen · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:33 Q1
"Lauri Markkanen makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot (Kyle Filipowski assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Keyonte George UTAH
15%
2 Kawhi Leonard LAC
14%
3 Ace Bailey UTAH
14%
4 Ivica Zubac LAC
11%
5 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC
10%
6 Kris Dunn LAC
9%
7 James Harden LAC
9%
8 Kobe Brown LAC
9%
9 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
8%
10 Nicolas Batum LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
47%
Dunk
14%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
17%
Layup
15%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 17.0 3.2 1.7
2 Keyonte George UTAH 16.1 3.4 4.9
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC 15.8 2.7 1.9
4 Ace Bailey UTAH 14.7 4.4 1.7
5 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 12.7 4.6 2.1
6 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 12.1 6.8 2.9
7 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 12.0 3.2 4.6
8 Brook Lopez LAC 11.0 3.3 1.5
9 John Collins LAC 10.6 3.9 1.1
10 Kobe Sanders LAC 9.3 2.4 1.7
11 Ivica Zubac LAC 8.9 6.7 2.6
12 Chris Paul LAC 8.5 3.1 4.7
13 James Harden LAC 7.8 3.1 7.2
14 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC 7.3 1.7 1.0
15 Cody Williams UTAH 7.3 2.4 1.0
16 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.1 1.7 1.7
17 Cam Christie LAC 5.9 1.3 1.2
18 Kevin Love UTAH 5.8 2.7 1.0
19 Yanic Konan Niederhauser LAC 5.3 5.0 1.2
20 Kobe Brown LAC 4.2 4.3 0.9
21 Elijah Harkless UTAH 4.1 0.7 0.4
22 Kris Dunn LAC 4.0 1.9 1.8
23 Nicolas Batum LAC 3.6 2.0 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.